NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	7.9 [258]		MVP	Doug Christie (TOR): +41.3%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	4.3 [75]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -24.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.41,0.41	0.11	0.31	0.01	13	69%	0.44	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.04	0.20	-0.00	22	54%	0.24	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Oliver Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	75%	0.21	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Clifford Rozier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
Damon Stoudamire	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	12	32%	-0.12	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.24,0.13,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	11	71%	0.24	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.06
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	68%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.07
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.11	0.05	14	50%	-0.10	4	-0.15	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	28.1	16.7	22.1	2.8	38.0	134.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +63.2%

DET -37.6%

TOR +26.0%

TOR +1.3%

DET -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	18.2	14.2	15.6	111.2	109.0	104.4
season	16.1	17.1		102.2	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.0		102.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.6	17.1	17.8	20.4	18.2
DET	15.9	12.9	14.1	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oliver Miller	28	28	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-9	20	18.7	17.9	0.83	14.4	14.1	0.26
Damon Stoudamire	81	81	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	18.4	15.5	2.94	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Doug Christie	82	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-3	8	18.4	16.0	2.37	14.4	11.4	2.99
Marcus Camby	80	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	2	-2	18.3	16.8	1.56	14.3	12.9	1.43
Walt Williams	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.54	-4	6	-10	17.8	19.4	-1.57	14.6	12.7	1.91
Popeye Jones	28	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	-3	8	18.5	18.0	0.52	12.4	15.0	-2.60
Sharone Wright	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	4	-6	17.0	18.6	-1.56	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Shawn Respert	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	16.0	18.7	-2.66	14.3	14.2	0.16
Clifford Rozier	37	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	9	-16	18.5	18.0	0.52	14.4	14.0	0.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	8	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	13.9	14.2	-0.33	18.7	18.1	0.63
Terry Mills	51	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-12	22	14.2	14.1	0.08	17.9	18.6	-0.72
Don Reid	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	2	-6	14.1	14.2	-0.12	17.8	18.3	-0.48
Aaron McKie	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	3	-8	15.1	13.8	1.39	17.1	18.6	-1.48
Theo Ratliff	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	6	-14	14.2	14.2	0.01	19.6	17.8	1.74
Michael Curry	18	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	4	-10	11.9	14.7	-2.80	17.0	18.5	-1.48
Joe Dumars	69	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	14.5	13.0	1.46	18.3	17.8	0.43
Grant Hill	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-2	2	13.6	17.4	-3.75	18.2	17.8	0.40
Otis Thorpe	81	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-4	6	14.2	13.9	0.33	18.3	16.7	1.68
Lindsey Hunter	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	14.6	11.4	3.19	18.4	16.5	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.63,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.43,0.02,0	90.5%
CLE 92, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.02,0	90.5%
CHI 94, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.72,0.75,0.42,0	90.1%