NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	6.7 [463]		MVP	Rick Fox (BOS): +30.4%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	13.3 [285]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -22.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	25	67%	0.26	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Walter McCarty	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	16	56%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	63%	0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Scott Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	13	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	4	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.07	-0.01	21	74%	0.30	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Hamer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	12	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	12	67%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	52%	-0.01	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	22	33%	-0.16	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	28.4	15.5	24.5	2.4	34.5	133.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.5%

BOS -7.5%

NYK +10.2%

NYK +7.1%

NYK +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.6	15.6	118.9	107.4	104.4
season	15.1	14.8		102.0	101.8
opponent	14.7	16.1		109.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	14.0	11.6	16.1	14.7
BOS	15.0	14.3	17.2	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	25	24	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.13	23	-12	35	13.5	15.2	-1.71	17.5	14.9	2.51
Buck Williams	34	33	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	5	1	14.9	14.6	0.32	14.6	16.1	-1.49
John Starks	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	6	-1	15.1	14.2	0.83	14.2	17.9	-3.76
Charlie Ward	66	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	0	11	14.1	16.2	-2.17	16.7	13.2	3.54
Patrick Ewing	71	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	10	-9	15.2	13.3	1.88	15.7	15.3	0.35
Allan Houston	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	15.4	13.0	2.48	16.2	13.9	2.31
Charles Oakley	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	5	1	14.4	15.2	-0.79	16.3	14.4	1.97
Larry Johnson	76	78	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	7	-3	14.5	15.6	-1.05	15.4	16.2	-0.73
Scott Brooks	8	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	13.9	14.8	-0.94	10.0	16.2	-6.16
John Wallace	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	13	-15	15.5	14.6	0.91	12.4	16.0	-3.62

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alton Lister	11	12	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.11	12	-23	35	13.4	15.9	-2.51	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Michael Hawkins	10	9	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-10	9	12.9	15.9	-2.99	15.2	14.7	0.54
Steve Hamer	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-9	7	17.7	15.4	2.23	11.0	15.0	-3.99
Brett Szabo	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-2	-7	18.0	14.8	3.24	17.5	13.8	3.70
Marty Conlon	39	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	13.7	16.9	-3.16	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Rick Fox	84	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-9	7	15.6	15.6	-0.06	14.9	13.7	1.14
Eric Williams	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	15.7	14.7	1.08	15.3	11.7	3.59
Antoine Walker	84	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	1	-13	15.6	15.4	0.24	14.4	17.6	-3.20
David Wesley	82	83	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	3	-17	16.0	13.2	2.81	14.6	16.0	-1.45
Todd Day	55	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.22	-16	5	-21	15.7	15.4	0.27	14.0	15.7	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 117, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	92.2%
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.8%
DAL 98, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	91.6%