NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	117		Excitement	4.8 [830]		MVP	Bimbo Coles (GSW): +6.1%
New Jersey Nets	108		Comeback	1.8 [367]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -12.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	18	70%	0.15	7	-0.10	17	88%	0.02
Todd Fuller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	10	100%	0.04
Chris Mullin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	75%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	7	31%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	18	49%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	10	58%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jack Haley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.03	0.07	16	64%	-0.02	2	-0.04	15	80%	-0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	0.04	15	48%	-0.08	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	16	30%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	25.2	15.0	29.0	1.8	34.3	132.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.4%

GSW +13.4%

NJN -1.2%

NJN -17.6%

NJN -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	13.2	15.6	113.6	106.9	104.4
season	15.0	15.4		104.4	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	12.2	15.4	18.5	15.0
NJN	12.4	14.0	15.2	11.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	82	83	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	15.1	14.4	0.75	13.3	13.1	0.15
Todd Fuller	63	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-7	23	13.7	17.0	-3.34	13.9	12.3	1.67
Bimbo Coles	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-4	17	15.2	14.4	0.81	13.8	12.2	1.60
Latrell Sprewell	92	89	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	8	-7	15.6	10.0	5.58	12.9	15.9	-3.04
Joe Smith	82	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	4	1	15.6	12.5	3.15	13.3	13.0	0.36
Mark Price	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	14	-19	15.5	14.5	1.05	12.2	14.2	-2.05
Andrew DeClercq	25	27	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	12	-15	13.6	15.4	-1.77	12.6	13.5	-0.83
Scott Burrell	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	4	1	12.0	15.9	-3.99	13.5	13.2	0.34
Felton Spencer	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	6	-3	15.9	14.6	1.28	13.6	13.1	0.43

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.41	16	-25	41	9.8	14.1	-4.33	18.2	14.1	4.07
Kevin Edwards	40	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-18	27	12.3	13.9	-1.59	16.0	14.3	1.71
Xavier McDaniel	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	13.7	12.9	0.81	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Jim Jackson	69	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-5	1	13.0	13.8	-0.80	15.6	13.7	1.84
Joe Kleine	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.3	12.5	2.86	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Eric Montross	47	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	2	-13	13.2	13.3	-0.09	13.8	16.0	-2.15
Kendall Gill	77	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-9	9	12.9	14.2	-1.22	15.2	14.2	1.06
Chris Gatling	53	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	5	-19	13.9	12.5	1.45	14.6	15.4	-0.85
Sam Cassell	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	4	-17	13.3	13.1	0.19	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Kerry Kittles	60	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	7	-23	13.8	12.4	1.43	14.2	16.2	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	95.3%
WAS 101, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
GSW 104, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%