NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Excitement	7.1 [386]		MVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): +34.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	2.0 [1099]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -9.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.00	-0.01	10	90%	0.21	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	9	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Moten	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Leckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	23	55%	0.06	4	-0.12	9	78%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Blue Edwards	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	53%	-0.05	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.13	0.21	-0.01	15	70%	0.38	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.01	18	57%	0.28	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	9	78%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	57%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	-102.6	2.6	29.6	13.6	28.8	2.6	27.2	1.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.8%

VAN -3.8%

LAL +18.4%

VAN -7.5%

LAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAL	NBA	VAN	LAL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.9	15.6	102.2	115.1	104.4
season	16.3	15.3		97.9	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.8	16.5	17.7	19.3	17.0
LAL	14.6	17.0	15.7	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	8	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-12	16	16.7	17.0	-0.23	17.4	15.8	1.68
Aaron Williams	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	15.7	17.1	-1.32	16.0	15.9	0.06
Eric Leckner	6	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-7	6	11.8	17.3	-5.49	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Roy Rogers	42	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-7	6	16.0	17.8	-1.72	16.3	15.6	0.72
Blue Edwards	45	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-12	16	16.9	17.0	-0.18	16.2	15.7	0.54
Anthony Peeler	32	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	16.2	17.4	-1.25	16.7	15.5	1.22
Lawrence Moten	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	17.9	13.4	4.49	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	1	-10	16.8	19.1	-2.37	15.5	20.6	-5.04
Greg Anthony	81	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	4	-16	17.0	16.7	0.23	15.8	17.4	-1.68
Bryant Reeves	71	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	6	-20	17.7	13.8	3.91	15.8	16.6	-0.81

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	65	66	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.13	19	-11	30	16.2	15.3	0.87	17.0	16.8	0.17
Nick Van Exel	77	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	16.2	14.0	2.17	16.9	17.7	-0.84
Eddie Jones	80	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	15.9	16.7	-0.78	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Elden Campbell	56	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	16.2	15.5	0.63	18.7	13.6	5.08
Byron Scott	40	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	11	-14	17.3	14.7	2.59	17.4	16.5	0.90
Jerome Kersey	47	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	15.5	16.4	-0.90	16.0	18.1	-2.08
Sean Rooks	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	15.4	16.3	-0.83	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Corie Blount	12	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	13.6	16.3	-2.74	14.9	17.3	-2.49
Kobe Bryant	10	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	9	-10	14.7	16.1	-1.41	16.3	17.1	-0.78
Derek Fisher	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	14.0	16.2	-2.17	17.7	16.9	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.8,0.71,0.85,0.95,1	93.1%
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	92.5%
NYK 78, MIL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.9,1	92.1%