NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	6.4 [497]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +32.9%
Washington Bullets	99		Comeback	1.4 [1184]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -8.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.33	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.12,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33	0.00	0.27	-0.06	28	53%	0.37	2	-0.04	12	58%	-0.02
Steve Kerr	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	18	67%	0.18	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	6	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Parish	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	11	54%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	12	75%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	17	60%	0.12	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.01
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	20	48%	-0.03	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	0.0	27.1	15.7	31.0	2.5	38.2	143.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +54.0%

WAS -6.4%

WAS -4.0%

CHI +3.4%

CHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	114.4	110.0	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		110.5	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		103.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	15.6	15.3	17.7	16.0
WAS	16.0	17.1	15.3	15.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	74	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	0	4	15.4	18.6	-3.16	16.4	14.8	1.51
Ron Harper	54	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-1	6	15.6	16.6	-0.98	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Scottie Pippen	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	0	4	16.4	13.3	3.04	15.5	19.2	-3.74
Michael Jordan	84	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	2	0	16.5	8.2	8.36	15.9	17.3	-1.36
Robert Parish	7	7	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	3	-2	18.3	15.8	2.51	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Steve Kerr	34	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-6	16	14.9	16.6	-1.65	16.4	15.8	0.56
Toni Kukoc	46	47	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-1	6	14.7	17.3	-2.60	16.1	15.9	0.24
Jason Caffey	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	3	-2	15.6	16.0	-0.42	18.1	15.6	2.47
Jud Buechler	1	3	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	16.0	16.0	0.03	4.3	16.4	-12.10
Luc Longley	56	55	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.27	-16	20	-36	17.2	14.0	3.16	16.9	14.7	2.21

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	61	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.39	12	-16	28	16.8	14.4	2.39	17.3	13.2	4.15
Ashraf Amaya	12	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-3	2	18.5	15.7	2.85	14.5	16.2	-1.76
Calbert Cheaney	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.40	8	-12	20	16.3	14.8	1.57	16.5	13.9	2.60
Chris Whitney	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	4	-12	17.4	15.6	1.76	13.2	16.8	-3.56
Jaren Jackson	31	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	0	-4	15.3	16.4	-1.08	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Tracy Murray	54	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-4	4	14.9	17.8	-2.91	16.9	14.7	2.19
Harvey Grant	15	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	8	-20	18.3	15.6	2.68	12.8	16.5	-3.74
Rod Strickland	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.39	2	-6	8	15.5	18.1	-2.56	16.2	15.0	1.21
Lorenzo Williams	28	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	12	-28	14.7	16.6	-1.86	14.0	16.9	-2.85
Juwan Howard	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-3	2	16.0	16.5	-0.50	16.0	14.6	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.04,0.08,0.21,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.2%
UTA 96, LAL 92	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0	93.0%
UTA 99, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	92.8%