NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	4.7 [849]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +12.6%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.6 [907]		LVP	Derek Harper (DAL): -11.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Joe Wolf	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	19	60%	0.08	2	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
Sherman Douglas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	15	41%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.01	0.03	20	70%	0.14	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Greg Dreiling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	52%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	13	38%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	26.4	15.8	24.1	1.8	43.3	136.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +44.8%

MIL +8.3%

DAL -1.8%

DAL -2.0%

MIL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.8	15.6	113.5	111.2	104.4
season	16.0	15.9		103.9	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	13.2	19.9	14.4	15.6
DAL	15.8	18.1	18.0	15.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-4	10	15.9	14.1	1.84	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Vin Baker	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-4	10	15.5	16.2	-0.77	16.5	20.1	-3.64
Elliot Perry	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	2	-2	13.9	17.9	-4.01	16.6	17.1	-0.43
Joe Wolf	28	28	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	-5	12	15.9	15.4	0.45	19.2	15.7	3.46
Glenn Robinson	78	78	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.40	-5	7	-12	15.1	18.5	-3.31	15.9	23.4	-7.48
Johnny Newman	30	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.15	3	-1	4	15.7	15.5	0.23	19.5	15.5	4.01
Armen Gilliam	63	64	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.42	-7	9	-16	15.8	15.0	0.83	16.1	18.5	-2.38
Sherman Douglas	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	2	-2	17.5	14.1	3.45	17.1	16.6	0.43
Chucky Brown	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	2	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.43	17.4	16.8	0.63

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Dreiling	20	21	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-10	18	17.6	16.6	1.08	20.7	14.0	6.70
Ed O'Bannon	9	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-1	0	17.7	16.7	0.95	12.2	15.9	-3.70
Samaki Walker	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	4	-10	17.6	16.6	0.96	12.8	16.3	-3.48
Martin Muursepp	9	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	3	-8	20.3	16.4	3.92	15.9	15.5	0.36
Derek Harper	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.50	7	-9	16	16.4	19.8	-3.43	15.7	14.3	1.46
Khalid Reeves	26	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	12	-26	17.9	16.3	1.57	13.9	16.3	-2.33
Erick Strickland	74	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-7	12	16.9	16.5	0.33	15.8	14.3	1.46
A.C. Green	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	16.1	20.1	-4.00	16.1	12.9	3.26
Shawn Bradley	58	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	3	-8	16.6	17.2	-0.59	13.9	18.4	-4.46
Michael Finley	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.7	17.7	-0.95	15.9	12.2	3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 100, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	94.7%
WAS 134, CHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 106, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	94.5%