NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	6.6 [480]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +27.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	29.3 [52]		LVP	Brent Price (HOU): -17.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.18	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	20	66%	0.24	1	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Mario Elie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.02	5	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Matt Bullard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	76%	0.08	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	20	56%	0.06	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.03
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matt Maloney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Price	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	8	57%	-0.07	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.15	0.07	12	90%	0.30	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.05	0.05	19	80%	0.29	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Gary Trent	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	11	27%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	10	46%	-0.13	1	-0.02	15	40%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	27.6	15.7	28.3	2.4	37.3	135.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.2%

HOU -37.7%

POR +29.7%

POR +0.4%

POR +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	15.6	110.5	117.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		107.2	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	14.6	15.6	13.1	14.7
POR	17.2	15.4	13.1	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	10	10	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-9	14	15.1	14.7	0.43	17.7	15.7	1.98
Matt Maloney	29	28	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-3	2	15.0	14.6	0.46	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Mario Elie	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-10	16	14.8	14.5	0.27	16.5	14.2	2.28
Othella Harrington	37	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-3	2	14.0	15.2	-1.13	15.5	16.2	-0.64
Hakeem Olajuwon	67	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	0	-4	15.0	14.0	0.96	16.1	15.3	0.81
Sam Mack	39	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	4	-12	14.7	14.7	-0.08	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Kevin Willis	86	83	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	14.8	14.0	0.79	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Brent Price	66	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-1	-2	14.6	15.0	-0.46	16.3	15.0	1.34
Matt Bullard	71	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	7	-18	14.6	15.0	-0.38	15.5	17.4	-1.93

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	65	67	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-10	24	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Isaiah Rider	86	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	1	2	15.7	18.3	-2.54	14.4	19.0	-4.62
Stacey Augmon	37	36	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-9	22	17.0	15.2	1.77	13.4	15.5	-2.18
Kenny Anderson	69	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	7	-10	15.8	16.3	-0.48	14.8	14.5	0.29
Clifford Robinson	73	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.51	-7	11	-18	16.2	15.1	1.00	15.0	13.5	1.49
Gary Trent	61	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-7	18	14.7	18.3	-3.67	15.2	13.9	1.30
Marcus Brown	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	-7	18	17.3	15.4	1.84	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Ruben Nembhard	4	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	13.5	16.0	-2.54	17.8	14.5	3.26
Jermaine O'Neal	4	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	13.5	16.0	-2.54	17.8	14.5	3.26
Chris Dudley	41	42	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.24	-12	16	-28	17.0	15.1	1.95	15.5	14.1	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.97,1,1,1	92.3%
DET 92, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	91.8%
TOR 99, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	91.5%