NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	5.8 [709]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +34.2%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	17.5 [234]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -12.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.02	0.00	11	79%	0.23	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.01
Khem Birch	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	17	49%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.07	0.02	17	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Briscoe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	8	6%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.20	0.03	21	69%	0.37	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	27.6	15.5	26.3	2.5	26.4	127.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.8%

UTA +5.1%

ORL -0.5%

UTA +1.1%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	14.3	97.9	111.6	109.3
season	14.9	14.3		107.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		105.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	15.9	16.8	16.1	15.7
UTA	17.3	14.1	12.5	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	53	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-17	21	15.1	16.5	-1.37	14.8	14.3	0.44
Evan Fournier	72	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-18	23	15.0	17.9	-2.87	15.2	12.5	2.77
D.J. Augustin	58	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.1	16.7	-1.58	15.0	13.8	1.19
Khem Birch	35	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-2	-9	17.1	14.9	2.14	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Nikola Vucevic	60	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-11	9	14.9	17.1	-2.14	15.1	13.6	1.49
Isaiah Briscoe	37	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	16.7	15.1	1.58	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Aaron Gordon	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-1	-11	15.4	16.7	-1.27	14.7	14.1	0.59
Wes Iwundu	32	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	4	-21	17.6	14.8	2.80	12.8	15.5	-2.71
Terrence Ross	56	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	6	-25	16.5	14.6	1.95	14.4	14.9	-0.50

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	66	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.05	20	-7	27	14.4	15.0	-0.66	16.3	14.4	1.90
Raul Neto	59	60	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-9	31	14.1	15.3	-1.17	16.7	14.0	2.70
Kyle Korver	45	45	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-5	23	14.1	15.0	-0.85	17.2	14.4	2.86
Rudy Gobert	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	1	11	14.7	14.3	0.33	15.7	15.8	-0.03
Donovan Mitchell	74	73	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	13	-13	14.9	13.3	1.66	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Joe Ingles	71	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	10	-7	14.9	13.5	1.44	14.8	18.6	-3.81
Royce O'Neale	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	17	-21	14.5	14.6	-0.15	15.0	16.2	-1.17
Derrick Favors	42	43	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	12	-11	15.1	14.1	1.01	15.4	16.0	-0.67
Georges Niang	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	20	-27	12.9	14.8	-1.90	13.1	16.1	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,1	92.8%
HOU 105, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.91,1	92.3%
DET 92, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	91.6%