NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	9.0 [121]		MVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): +18.4%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.1 [974]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -35.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.01	17	57%	0.22	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	7	73%	0.12	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	68%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.10	0.02	11	61%	-0.05	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Terry Dehere	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	8	19%	-0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.35	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	15	43%	-0.08	6	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.01	22	73%	0.26	4	-0.09	12	83%	0.03
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	12	46%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Grayer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	-0.00	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	17	45%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	6	44%	-0.03	3	-0.19	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	25.9	23.0	25.2	2.5	43.4	144.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +19.1%

SAC +14.4%

SAC +19.5%

LAC -5.4%

SAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.6	105.4	112.9	104.4
season	15.8	15.4		102.9	102.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	18.1	14.4	13.8	15.4
SAC	17.1	16.2	13.3	16.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	13.5	17.0	-3.51	14.6	16.4	-1.82
Brent Barry	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-5	3	18.1	15.0	3.08	17.3	15.4	1.91
Bo Outlaw	46	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-6	5	17.1	13.7	3.47	17.4	13.8	3.56
Lamond Murray	43	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.20	1	-8	9	16.7	14.2	2.54	17.1	14.1	2.96
Lorenzen Wright	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.1	16.2	-1.12
Eric Piatkowski	23	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-5	3	16.0	15.2	0.89	14.5	16.0	-1.41
Rodney Rogers	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-9	11	14.1	18.0	-3.82	14.6	17.5	-2.84
Terry Dehere	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	16.1	14.8	1.29	15.8	15.4	0.34
Malik Sealy	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	14.7	17.9	-3.28	15.4	16.2	-0.84
Loy Vaught	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.22	-11	4	-15	15.4	15.2	0.28	15.4	16.1	-0.72

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Edney	82	83	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-3	13	15.6	15.5	0.16	15.2	17.2	-2.04
Olden Polynice	78	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	0	7	15.3	17.0	-1.68	15.4	15.3	0.11
Michael Smith	75	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	15.4	16.2	-0.78	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Mitch Richmond	82	81	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	4	-1	15.3	17.6	-2.32	15.1	17.4	-2.34
Corliss Williamson	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	2	3	15.9	15.1	0.74	15.5	15.2	0.32
Billy Owens	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	7	-7	16.9	13.9	3.01	16.5	13.9	2.63
Jeff Grayer	17	19	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	14.0	15.9	-1.95	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Bobby Hurley	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	4	-1	0.0	15.8	-15.76	4.5	15.6	-11.12
Duane Causwell	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	17.9	15.4	2.50	18.9	15.0	3.83
Kevin Gamble	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	6	-5	15.0	15.7	-0.68	15.3	15.4	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.73,1	92.9%
SAS 88, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.8%
WAS 107, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.89,0.76,0.96,1	92.5%