inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 88 Excitement7.3 [367] MVPDale Ellis (MIL): +20.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Comeback1.2 [525] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -23.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Kersey0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Chucky Brown0.000,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01475%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Terry Porter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.01761%0.031-0.04450%-0.04
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01440%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Samaki Walker-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.01-0.00540%0.023-0.0900%0.00
David Robinson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.011158%0.034-0.131479%0.04
Mario Elie-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.01520%-0.091-0.04560%0.00
Jaren Jackson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00617%-0.091-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.240,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24-0.08-0.140.011959%-0.007-0.231164%-0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.20.200.090.140.03881%0.221-0.0200%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.00658%0.102-0.0700%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01540%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.011957%0.123-0.11862%-0.02
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.030.031659%0.022-0.055100%0.03
J.R. Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sam Cassell0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.030.031847%-0.045-0.134100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.730.316.327.62.431.5132.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +36.4%
SAS -14.2%
MIL +1.2%
MIL +28.0%
SAS -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMILNBASASMILNBA
this game15.016.215.294.6107.6101.7
season15.514.9101.6105.5
opponent15.415.4105.195.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.515.614.214.515.0
MIL14.516.416.517.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chucky Brown3332-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-10914.515.2-0.7315.316.6-1.34
Jerome Kersey2019-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-8518.214.14.1314.816.5-1.76
Samaki Walker65-0.10-0.400.300.05-5-6127.714.113.5916.616.20.44
Avery Johnson6463-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-8514.416.3-1.9215.717.1-1.39
Malik Rose2725-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-8515.914.61.3116.416.10.35
Terry Porter5050-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-8514.915.1-0.2117.814.33.49
Tim Duncan8586-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.19-2-9714.025.6-11.6716.215.80.38
Antonio Daniels1415-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-5-6115.614.80.8116.616.10.50
Jaren Jackson3837-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-3-515.614.51.1016.715.80.91
Mario Elie6060-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-1-914.316.2-1.9015.816.9-1.15
David Robinson6868-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-121-1314.715.6-0.8816.016.6-0.60

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dale Ellis35370.63-0.130.770.2214-31717.715.32.4215.914.31.60
Ray Allen80790.480.020.470.19101916.017.5-1.5114.318.5-4.17
Glenn Robinson68690.460.040.410.0414-31715.817.2-1.4414.815.5-0.73
Danny Manning44450.390.110.290.1974317.015.41.6514.615.3-0.65
Sam Cassell62640.150.35-0.19-0.0265115.717.1-1.3614.017.0-3.02
Vinny Del Negro26250.140.36-0.230.11110-917.015.91.1417.314.13.23
Robert Traylor29300.090.41-0.320.0038-515.216.6-1.4316.814.12.77
Ervin Johnson52520.080.42-0.350.0229-715.517.0-1.4914.815.1-0.30
Tim Thomas42410.060.44-0.370.09-112-1316.515.90.6714.215.5-1.28
J.R. Reid22230.010.49-0.470.04-112-1316.416.10.2416.014.61.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 76, HOU 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,194.2%
BOS 104, SAS 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.96,193.8%
TOR 83, LAC 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.83,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%