NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	7.1 [362]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +25.3%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.2 [1107]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -11.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13	0.15	-0.02	0.00	17	67%	0.18	1	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Brendan Haywood	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	11	81%	0.24	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	14	64%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.05	15	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Nick Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	31%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.13	-0.00	14	70%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.21	0.02	0.03	17	70%	0.23	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.07
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	13	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	10	59%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	62%	0.11	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.7	31.2	18.7	28.2	2.8	39.2	147.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.6%

WAS -6.7%

WAS -17.5%

PHX +16.5%

PHX +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	15.4	108.1	112.5	105.7
season	16.1	13.8		106.8	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	14.9	16.6	13.0	15.4
PHX	13.2	13.4	14.7	15.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	10	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-2	3	13.3	15.6	-2.32	16.0	14.0	2.03
Dominic McGuire	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	2	-5	15.4	15.4	0.00	12.6	14.4	-1.76
Brendan Haywood	70	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-3	5	15.3	15.6	-0.33	14.7	12.6	2.11
Nick Young	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-2	3	15.4	15.4	0.02	14.0	14.3	-0.29
Andray Blatche	73	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-4	7	15.7	14.4	1.30	13.5	15.8	-2.29
Darius Songaila	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	7	-15	15.7	15.2	0.53	15.5	13.2	2.34
Roger Mason Jr.	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.41	2	-3	5	15.0	17.4	-2.38	14.1	14.4	-0.29
DeShawn Stevenson	70	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	2	-5	15.4	15.2	0.20	13.9	14.8	-0.97
Antawn Jamison	83	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-1	1	15.6	14.5	1.05	13.9	15.2	-1.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.47	1	0	1	13.9	15.8	-1.86	15.4	15.1	0.30
Steve Nash	78	81	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.48	0	1	-1	13.6	16.6	-3.05	15.6	14.3	1.28
Grant Hill	66	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	-1	3	14.6	13.2	1.36	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Raja Bell	81	85	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.49	-2	3	-5	13.7	16.3	-2.53	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Boris Diaw	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-4	9	14.0	14.5	-0.51	15.7	14.9	0.75
DJ Strawberry	17	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	-1	3	14.4	14.1	0.34	15.7	15.3	0.33
Leandro Barbosa	48	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	1	-1	14.5	13.8	0.69	15.4	15.4	-0.00
Brian Skinner	43	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	4	-7	15.4	13.1	2.32	15.1	15.6	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.89,0.76,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 84, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	93.3%
POR 91, NOK 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.95,1,1	93.2%
PHX 101, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.0%