inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 90 Excitement2.7 [1165] MVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): +9.6%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback1.5 [1111] LVPTravis Best (IND): -10.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Vincent Askew0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00564%0.021-0.001100%0.00
Jerome Allen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02567%0.003-0.002100%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.06287%-0.005-0.01475%-0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01436%-0.0200.00367%-0.00
Erick Dampier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.05833%-0.032-0.002100%0.01
Reggie Miller-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021345%-0.002-0.045100%0.01
Dale Davis-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.06614%-0.031-0.0220%-0.00
Antonio Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.010.05964%-0.022-0.03450%-0.03
Duane Ferrell-0.070,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01633%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Rik Smits-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.011250%-0.014-0.0800%0.00
Travis Best-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.000.00941%-0.073-0.03475%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.000.031081%0.101-0.001669%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.031662%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.02-0.061358%0.114-0.06580%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.04965%0.0300.005100%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ed Pinckney00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Martin Muursepp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00350%0.0000.00250%0.00
Willie Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01757%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Sasha Danilovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.08-0.00-0.07233%-0.013-0.012100%0.01
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.07450%0.025-0.07450%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.526.617.631.72.030.2135.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +52.7%
MIA +0.8%
IND -11.5%
MIA +8.1%
IND -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game14.912.815.685.7102.9104.4
season15.315.8103.6103.1
opponent16.316.398.3101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.819.813.210.814.9
MIA11.812.013.513.612.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Dampier27280.18-0.680.86-0.2013-294214.415.1-0.6814.112.31.85
Eddie Johnson11110.12-0.620.75-0.087-233014.914.90.0413.712.71.04
Fred Hoiberg30310.02-0.520.54-0.3613-294212.915.7-2.7214.712.02.69
Jerome Allen37370.02-0.520.53-0.4215-314613.115.9-2.8114.611.82.81
Jalen Rose3435-0.01-0.490.48-0.227-233010.417.0-6.6513.412.50.96
Duane Ferrell3432-0.25-0.250.000.16-14-2-1219.012.96.1412.013.1-1.11
Antonio Davis7273-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-5-613.817.2-3.4112.712.9-0.19
Vincent Askew2625-0.36-0.14-0.230.11-160-1615.314.70.5712.512.9-0.42
Rik Smits4746-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.10-9-7-215.414.50.8813.512.21.27
Travis Best6866-0.520.02-0.530.39-3115-4615.913.12.8111.814.6-2.81
Reggie Miller7572-0.520.02-0.540.33-2913-4215.712.92.7212.014.7-2.69
Dale Davis6459-0.540.04-0.580.19-259-3415.913.22.7211.714.3-2.62

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard80820.59-0.090.68-0.3532-164812.513.8-1.2715.811.44.41
Alonzo Mourning72740.450.050.40-0.2524-83212.513.6-1.1216.012.33.71
P.J. Brown76790.340.160.18-0.2821-52612.114.8-2.6915.413.22.24
Tim Hardaway70740.330.170.16-0.2018-22011.715.2-3.4715.713.02.66
Keith Askins65700.220.28-0.06-0.221511412.014.2-2.2415.114.50.63
Sasha Danilovic38370.180.32-0.140.21-117-1813.712.31.3715.814.41.48
John Crotty34320.170.33-0.150.23-218-2014.811.82.9412.715.8-3.06
Ike Austin31300.140.36-0.210.20-218-2014.112.21.8116.014.41.53
Ed Pinckney15150.070.43-0.370.15-319-2213.612.70.949.115.8-6.70
Mark Strickland12120.000.50-0.500.23-824-3215.012.52.498.915.6-6.73
Martin Muursepp11100.000.50-0.500.21-723-3015.312.52.778.915.5-6.61
Willie Anderson11100.000.50-0.500.21-723-3015.312.52.778.915.5-6.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 93, POR 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
GSW 87, DET 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
LAC 86, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%