inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement3.1 [1198] MVPMason Plumlee (POR): +7.2%
Portland Trail Blazers 110 Comeback1.6 [829] LVPLuol Deng (MIA): -8.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.01-0.051451%0.103-0.031173%0.02
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021150%-0.0000.00450%-0.01
Justise Winslow-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.01-0.00850%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01150%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Gerald Green-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02939%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.010.031055%0.002-0.04250%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.021447%-0.043-0.04475%0.00
Luol Deng-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.010.051347%-0.082-0.01475%-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mason Plumlee0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.051077%0.081-0.01250%-0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.001259%0.091-0.03580%0.01
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.06787%0.0600.002100%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.071580%0.085-0.0500%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04750%0.052-0.032100%0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.04-0.01-0.051447%0.073-0.061080%0.03
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Luis Montero00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03831%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00125%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.832.214.827.41.727.5128.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +39.9%
POR +4.1%
POR +6.6%
MIA -0.7%
POR +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game14.914.214.992.1113.4105.1
season15.515.0104.5107.1
opponent14.615.1106.7103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.914.814.014.914.9
POR14.611.313.717.914.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem1090.00-0.500.50-0.155-222712.515.2-2.6519.313.75.67
Amar'e Stoudemire2522-0.14-0.360.220.12-9-8-116.614.32.2712.314.7-2.47
Justise Winslow5958-0.18-0.320.15-0.15-1-161514.215.9-1.7415.811.74.13
Hassan Whiteside5757-0.18-0.320.14-0.01-6-11514.914.80.0914.713.51.17
Gerald Green5754-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-11514.415.5-1.0414.114.3-0.29
Goran Dragic6868-0.27-0.23-0.030.14-14-3-1116.012.63.4413.715.3-1.65
Josh McRoberts3532-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-9114.215.2-1.0114.414.10.38
Luol Deng6666-0.33-0.17-0.160.08-14-3-1115.513.81.6313.316.1-2.81
Josh Richardson6360-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.21-5-12714.116.1-1.9915.012.82.22
Joe Johnson6559-0.540.04-0.570.26-2710-3715.014.80.1812.716.5-3.76

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee56570.450.050.40-0.4029-124112.716.2-3.5716.113.32.75
Al-Farouq Aminu53570.410.090.33-0.2021-42512.516.2-3.7414.914.90.01
CJ McCollum65690.390.110.27-0.3525-83313.415.7-2.2915.513.71.81
Maurice Harkless67690.380.120.26-0.061521313.715.2-1.5215.214.20.98
Damian Lillard61640.360.140.23-0.081521313.116.0-2.8414.815.0-0.17
Gerald Henderson56560.240.26-0.010.24017-1715.013.02.0114.815.0-0.24
Noah Vonleh20210.150.35-0.210.00512-715.113.91.1515.614.70.92
Allen Crabbe51510.090.41-0.320.21-421-2515.812.43.4514.515.3-0.73
Ed Davis33340.030.47-0.450.29-926-3515.613.42.2014.115.3-1.21
Chris Kaman890.000.50-0.500.15-522-2718.713.84.9711.815.2-3.42
Pat Connaughton340.000.50-0.500.03-118-1920.714.06.6910.215.1-4.83
Brian Roberts9100.000.50-0.500.15-522-2719.313.75.6712.515.2-2.65
Luis Montero340.000.50-0.500.03-118-1920.714.06.6910.215.1-4.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 96, IND 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SAC 85, SAS 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
IND 90, MIA 1060.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%