NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	71		Excitement	6.2 [546]		MVP	Sasha Danilovic (MIA): +8.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	66		Comeback	1.8 [569]		LVP	Chris Mills (CLE): -28.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Danilovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Crotty	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	10	68%	0.13	5	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Ike Austin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	46%	-0.03	2	-0.07	3	0%	-0.05
Tim Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.13	0.01	-0.00	14	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Keith Askins	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	9	24%	-0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	13	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	8	64%	-0.00	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	2	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	9	39%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	0.00	10	20%	-0.14	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.0	29.6	15.8	22.4	2.5	34.0	132.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +45.8%

MIA +2.7%

CLE -1.7%

MIA +2.0%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	19.8	15.6	85.5	81.5	104.4
season	15.8	17.8		103.1	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.3		100.0	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.6	14.7	16.6	14.9	15.4
CLE	21.5	19.6	21.3	17.2	19.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Danilovic	53	52	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.32	15	-10	25	15.2	15.8	-0.65	19.1	21.0	-1.94
Alonzo Mourning	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	-2	9	15.1	16.6	-1.51	20.2	17.6	2.59
Keith Askins	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	4	-3	15.2	17.1	-1.92	20.0	17.0	2.97
Voshon Lenard	46	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	7	-9	15.3	15.5	-0.18	20.2	19.3	0.91
Tim Hardaway	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	15.1	16.5	-1.36	19.2	22.2	-3.02
John Crotty	17	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-3	11	16.5	15.1	1.36	22.2	19.2	3.02
Ike Austin	26	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	4	-3	16.6	14.8	1.73	20.3	19.6	0.72
P.J. Brown	62	60	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	7	-9	15.6	14.7	0.96	19.2	21.4	-2.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donny Marshall	11	13	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	17.8	20.1	-2.28	12.2	16.0	-3.74
Shawnelle Scott	2	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	22.5	19.7	2.78	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Mark West	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	24.6	18.8	5.87	17.3	15.0	2.38
Antonio Lang	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-3	1	20.7	19.7	0.95	18.3	15.2	3.18
Vitaly Potapenko	47	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-5	5	19.4	20.4	-1.02	16.4	14.1	2.31
Chris Mills	67	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-5	5	20.2	17.9	2.25	16.0	12.7	3.26
Tyrone Hill	57	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-10	15	19.5	20.4	-0.89	16.3	12.9	3.42
Terrell Brandon	72	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-5	5	19.4	22.9	-3.49	15.1	18.2	-3.17
Bobby Phills	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	1	-7	19.9	18.9	1.02	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Bob Sura	25	25	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	7	-19	19.4	20.0	-0.62	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Danny Ferry	34	36	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	7	-19	19.2	20.2	-0.96	12.4	17.6	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 81, IND 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	92.0%
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.0%