NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	81		Excitement	6.8 [457]		MVP	Brandan Wright (DAL): +11.1%
Indiana Pacers	73		Comeback	1.9 [207]		LVP	Shane Larkin (DAL): -15.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	87%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	14	56%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	18	50%	0.08	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	5	8%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	65%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	58%	0.13	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	16	39%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	6	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	17	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.1	15.5	22.3	2.3	36.6	133.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +7.3%

DAL +6.6%

IND -1.5%

DAL +33.7%

DAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.1	86.2	77.7	105.2
season	15.3	15.8		109.0	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		99.0	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.1	15.0	17.6	15.3	15.2
IND	16.9	15.0	15.9	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	67	68	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-2	12	15.8	13.6	2.18	14.9	17.0	-2.13
Brandan Wright	24	24	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-5	18	15.0	15.3	-0.30	13.6	16.1	-2.52
Jose Calderon	47	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-1	10	13.5	16.8	-3.30	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Jae Crowder	23	20	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	0	8	15.4	15.1	0.34	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Monta Ellis	82	82	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	15.0	16.7	-1.80	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Vince Carter	41	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	0	8	14.7	15.6	-0.93	16.8	14.3	2.54
Shane Larkin	41	40	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.14	0	8	-8	17.5	13.4	4.13	15.8	15.2	0.55
DeJuan Blair	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	4	0	16.1	14.8	1.30	15.9	15.2	0.65
Shawn Marion	75	74	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	13	-18	14.8	16.5	-1.69	15.5	15.2	0.26
Samuel Dalembert	40	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	17	-26	14.6	15.6	-0.92	16.2	14.9	1.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-8	8	15.4	15.5	-0.06	15.0	15.5	-0.44
David West	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-9	10	14.6	17.9	-3.25	15.4	14.4	1.03
CJ Watson	27	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-4	0	15.2	15.6	-0.33	16.7	14.5	2.13
Danny Granger	38	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	16.2	15.0	1.22	15.5	15.0	0.52
George Hill	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-4	0	15.6	15.2	0.33	14.5	16.7	-2.13
Ian Mahinmi	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.6	15.4	0.21	16.0	14.8	1.20
Paul George	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.6	15.0	0.57	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Luis Scola	23	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	1	-10	18.1	14.6	3.54	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Lance Stephenson	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	14.9	17.8	-2.94	15.3	14.8	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 71, CLE 66	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.36,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
SAC 98, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.01,0	92.9%
CHI 106, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.1,0.16,0.09,0,0	92.7%