NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	82		Excitement	4.4 [902]		MVP	Gheorghe Muresan (WAS): +7.3%
Washington Bullets	102		Comeback	1.5 [799]		LVP	Dennis Scott (ORL): -21.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rony Seikaly	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	16	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Dan Schayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	-0.01	18	55%	0.06	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wilkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Dennis Scott	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.03	10	0%	-0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	64%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	19	65%	0.13	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	25.1	15.4	26.5	2.3	24.6	117.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +11.3%

WAS +18.1%

WAS +8.0%

WAS +11.3%

WAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	15.6	85.4	104.1	104.4
season	16.4	14.8		102.9	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	16.9	15.6	14.9	15.5
WAS	12.4	15.8	13.2	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vaughn	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	8.7	15.8	-7.07	16.2	14.1	2.15
Dan Schayes	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	12.1	15.8	-3.64	18.9	13.8	5.11
Brian Evans	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	13.7	15.7	-1.93	18.0	13.8	4.20
Darrell Armstrong	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-20	20	14.4	15.7	-1.31	17.5	13.6	3.87
Dennis Scott	62	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-14	8	15.9	14.8	1.17	13.4	15.7	-2.29
Horace Grant	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-12	4	16.5	14.8	1.70	14.7	13.8	0.85
Nick Anderson	72	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-8	-4	15.9	14.3	1.58	14.3	14.0	0.30
Rony Seikaly	73	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-8	-4	15.3	16.2	-0.86	13.4	16.7	-3.28
Anfernee Hardaway	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-12	4	15.3	16.0	-0.65	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Brian Shaw	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	1	-22	16.1	15.0	1.15	14.6	13.9	0.69
Gerald Wilkins	41	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	-3	-14	14.9	16.0	-1.12	14.2	14.2	0.05
Derek Strong	47	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-6	-8	15.8	15.3	0.52	13.4	14.9	-1.50

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	60	58	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-4	28	14.3	14.1	0.21	15.3	15.8	-0.53
Gheorghe Muresan	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	8	4	13.8	14.7	-0.82	16.1	14.6	1.52
Juwan Howard	80	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	5	10	14.0	15.0	-1.00	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Rod Strickland	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	11	-2	13.4	15.8	-2.37	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Calbert Cheaney	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	11	-2	13.3	15.1	-1.72	16.2	14.8	1.36
Jaren Jackson	35	34	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	10	0	16.3	13.0	3.36	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Chris Whitney	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	7	6	15.6	13.4	2.19	16.0	15.3	0.73
Harvey Grant	26	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	14	-8	13.3	14.5	-1.24	15.0	15.7	-0.64
Chris Webber	72	70	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	16	-12	14.1	14.5	-0.38	15.5	15.5	0.03
Ben Wallace	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	17.3	13.9	3.34	12.1	15.8	-3.64
Ashraf Amaya	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	16.2	14.1	2.15	8.7	15.8	-7.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.75,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.99,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
SEA 77, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
UTA 70, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%