NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	4.3 [914]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +21.4%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	1.5 [819]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -14.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	6	86%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Heal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	5	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	15	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug West	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	13	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	13	47%	-0.05	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.04	0.03	20	76%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	66%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	13	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	9	60%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Acie Earl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Martin Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	26.1	15.5	22.6	2.5	27.7	121.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +57.4%

MIN -4.6%

MIN -11.7%

TOR +8.7%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.6	116.5	129.7	104.4
season	15.5	16.1		103.3	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.6	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	18.1	18.7	12.1	15.7
TOR	13.3	17.0	19.2	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	30	31	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.39	14	-26	40	14.3	16.4	-2.06	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Shane Heal	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-18	24	12.3	16.4	-4.13	16.1	15.9	0.16
Terry Porter	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-18	24	15.7	15.7	0.06	16.3	15.7	0.63
Doug West	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-7	2	15.6	15.8	-0.20	17.1	14.9	2.21
Sam Mitchell	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	2	-16	16.0	15.5	0.51	16.4	15.5	0.88
James Robinson	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-11	10	15.0	16.8	-1.76	14.2	18.8	-4.52
Tom Gugliotta	57	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.22	-19	7	-26	17.3	13.1	4.15	17.0	14.3	2.69
Stephon Marbury	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	7	-26	16.2	14.9	1.25	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Kevin Garnett	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	10	-32	15.9	15.3	0.57	16.5	14.5	2.01
Dean Garrett	63	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	-6	0	15.7	15.7	0.00	15.1	17.7	-2.53

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	67	69	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.09	25	-13	38	15.8	16.4	-0.60	16.6	12.9	3.76
Popeye Jones	76	75	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-16	44	15.9	16.3	-0.40	16.4	12.3	4.13
Doug Christie	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.11	20	-8	28	16.2	14.5	1.63	16.3	12.4	3.88
Carlos Rogers	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	-1	14	16.7	14.8	1.91	15.6	15.9	-0.24
Damon Stoudamire	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.15	16	-4	20	16.4	14.2	2.20	16.5	13.3	3.16
Marcus Camby	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	8	-4	15.9	16.1	-0.25	14.7	18.1	-3.41
John Long	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.33	-8	20	-28	12.2	16.5	-4.24	12.8	16.2	-3.32
Acie Earl	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	7.6	16.4	-8.82	12.2	15.9	-3.62
Jimmy Oliver	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	24	-36	11.6	16.5	-4.87	12.1	16.2	-4.06
Martin Lewis	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	23	-34	11.6	16.3	-4.73	10.1	16.2	-6.04
Zan Tabak	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	23	-34	23.0	14.9	8.14	14.1	16.0	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, LAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 79, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%