NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	4.1 [974]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +12.7%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	1.3 [1297]		LVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): -6.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.01	11	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Skal Labissiere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	18	51%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Georgios Papagiannis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.06	15	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	13	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	10	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	74%	0.12	2	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	70%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	7	72%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	14	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	26.0	15.0	26.7	1.8	26.5	122.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +26.2%

LAC +4.7%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +14.7%

SAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	14.8	14.8	103.3	127.8	107.7
season	15.4	15.0		106.0	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.6		106.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.0	14.6	18.8	17.4	16.8
LAC	13.0	14.2	18.2	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skal Labissiere	62	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-12	4	17.2	15.9	1.26	14.4	15.9	-1.57
Ben McLemore	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-6	-8	16.7	16.9	-0.25	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Georgios Papagiannis	55	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-11	2	16.3	17.5	-1.13	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Buddy Hield	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-7	-6	16.6	17.4	-0.80	15.3	13.2	2.14
Langston Galloway	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-4	-12	16.8	16.7	0.04	15.0	14.0	0.96
Willie Cauley-Stein	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.17	-21	1	-22	16.9	16.4	0.50	15.4	13.4	1.94
Arron Afflalo	66	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	-1	-18	16.9	16.5	0.39	14.7	15.1	-0.38

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	53	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	4	12	15.4	14.0	1.39	17.3	16.1	1.15
Blake Griffin	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	2	16	15.3	13.9	1.35	17.3	15.7	1.61
Chris Paul	63	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	2	16	15.3	13.8	1.52	17.4	15.5	1.85
DeAndre Jordan	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	1	18	15.0	14.3	0.67	16.9	16.4	0.50
Luc Mbah a Moute	60	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	3	14	15.4	13.7	1.72	16.6	17.2	-0.62
Marreese Speights	33	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	13	-6	14.5	15.1	-0.62	16.2	17.2	-1.01
Jamal Crawford	45	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.22	13	7	6	14.3	15.4	-1.11	17.4	16.2	1.21
Raymond Felton	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	19	-18	13.8	15.5	-1.69	15.5	17.6	-2.05
Paul Pierce	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	16.0	14.8	1.20	12.0	16.9	-4.94
Wesley Johnson	12	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	22	-24	11.8	15.3	-3.47	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Brandon Bass	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	24	-28	13.5	15.2	-1.67	15.7	17.0	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 106, TOR 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 79, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
TOR 97, CLE 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%