NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	7.1 [401]		MVP	Rex Chapman (PHX): +20.9%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	11.7 [144]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -18.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	56%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.01	-0.00	20	57%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	16	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Litterial Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Otis Thorpe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	15	53%	-0.09	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.08	0.00	10	85%	0.27	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	8	62%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.11	-0.01	14	56%	0.17	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Rumeal Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.07
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	10	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	26.2	15.5	24.5	2.5	36.3	130.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +25.8%

PHX +6.5%

PHX +22.0%

DET -6.1%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	15.2	15.6	97.7	103.5	104.4
season	17.1	14.6		107.6	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.2		106.5	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	18.6	16.4	20.2	17.8
PHX	12.2	19.3	15.6	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	12	11	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-7	11	16.1	18.1	-2.02	20.2	14.5	5.66
Grant Long	15	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	2	-7	19.5	17.5	2.05	18.2	14.7	3.52
Don Reid	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	18.4	17.7	0.65	12.1	15.8	-3.70
Litterial Green	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	7.3	18.2	-10.87	10.3	15.4	-5.09
Michael Curry	22	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	3	-9	17.4	18.0	-0.62	15.4	15.2	0.27
Otis Thorpe	83	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-7	11	17.5	22.6	-5.06	14.9	21.7	-6.82
Grant Hill	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.54	6	-9	15	18.1	15.2	2.84	15.1	17.3	-2.25
Lindsey Hunter	81	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	17.6	21.0	-3.44	14.9	19.0	-4.09
Joe Dumars	74	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	3	-9	18.0	16.9	1.16	15.4	14.2	1.23
Terry Mills	57	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.62	1	-4	5	18.6	16.5	2.08	15.4	14.9	0.58

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	54	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-4	11	15.5	14.7	0.79	18.3	17.0	1.23
Mark Bryant	45	48	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-4	11	16.6	13.7	2.94	19.6	15.7	3.90
Wesley Person	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	2	-1	15.0	15.7	-0.64	17.2	19.2	-1.98
Cedric Ceballos	57	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	14.7	16.3	-1.61	17.4	18.7	-1.27
Kevin Johnson	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	6	-9	14.2	19.4	-5.12	17.4	19.3	-1.83
Rex Chapman	55	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.00	8	-5	13	15.5	14.8	0.73	18.0	17.5	0.43
Rumeal Robinson	1	1	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	2	-1	2.0	15.4	-13.40	1.0	18.0	-17.02
Steve Nash	31	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	-7	17	16.7	14.4	2.34	19.0	17.1	1.91
Loren Meyer	21	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	9	-15	16.2	14.9	1.32	16.3	18.3	-2.03
Hot Rod Williams	37	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	14	-25	14.3	16.0	-1.66	17.3	18.2	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.34,0.53,0.85,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.46,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.96,1	91.4%
TOR 86, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.72,0.91,1,1	90.4%
IND 78, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.48,0.76,0.84,0.97,1,1	90.4%