NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	78		Excitement	7.1 [376]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +20.9%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	4.1 [387]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -37.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.06	0.01	13	85%	0.26	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	13	46%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.37	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.35,-0.37,-0.37	-0.23	-0.18	-0.04	20	29%	-0.23	3	-0.15	8	62%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	9	78%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	75%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.18,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	24%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	15	53%	0.03	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	26%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	12	36%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	28.1	16.6	23.2	1.8	41.2	134.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.4%

DET +1.3%

DET +17.9%

DET +14.9%

DET +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	88.6	101.1	101.6
season	15.4	16.8		102.2	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	17.9	17.7	17.0	16.5
DET	16.0	18.1	15.0	16.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	17	18	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-12	14	15.5	16.8	-1.32	16.8	16.3	0.57
Jamaal Tinsley	63	63	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-8	6	16.1	17.5	-1.38	16.0	17.4	-1.43
Metta World Peace	76	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-8	6	16.5	16.7	-0.25	16.4	16.1	0.32
Erick Strickland	28	26	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	18.2	15.7	2.46	18.7	15.4	3.24
Reggie Miller	67	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	16.0	18.4	-2.43	15.6	19.0	-3.39
Brad Miller	81	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	0	-10	16.5	17.3	-0.82	16.3	17.0	-0.68
Jermaine O'Neal	76	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.21	-14	4	-18	16.5	16.7	-0.15	15.9	19.2	-3.35
Al Harrington	32	32	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	1	-12	17.9	15.7	2.16	18.0	15.5	2.51

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	26	26	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-3	16	18.7	15.4	3.35	17.2	16.3	0.88
Ben Wallace	79	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.20	10	0	10	16.3	17.0	-0.68	16.5	17.3	-0.82
Jon Barry	20	21	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	2	6	19.4	15.5	3.92	16.9	16.4	0.42
Corliss Williamson	43	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	3	4	18.0	14.8	3.11	17.3	15.7	1.57
Mehmet Okur	20	21	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	18.0	15.9	2.10	17.6	16.2	1.43
Clifford Robinson	75	74	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	6	-2	16.0	18.7	-2.65	16.3	17.8	-1.49
Michael Curry	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	7	-4	14.8	18.0	-3.11	15.7	17.3	-1.57
Richard Hamilton	51	51	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	8	-6	14.8	18.6	-3.85	16.0	17.3	-1.27
Hubert Davis	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	10	-10	17.7	16.1	1.60	17.8	16.2	1.56
Chauncey Billups	61	62	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	13	-16	15.4	18.7	-3.35	16.3	17.2	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.48,0.76,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.85,0.94,1,1	92.8%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.5%
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	91.6%