NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	6.8 [447]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +15.7%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.4 [751]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): -38.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	25	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.10
Luc Longley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jason Caffey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	10	14%	-0.24	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.39	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.27	-0.13	-0.02	14	17%	-0.24	6	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	20	48%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	25	57%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.04
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	110%	0.15	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.06	9	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.8	30.6	19.2	22.6	3.3	30.5	134.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +74.6%

CHI -11.7%

CHI -15.5%

HOU +8.0%

CHI -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	HOU	NBA	CHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.6	92.5	108.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		110.5	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.1		103.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.2	12.4	17.2	17.6	14.9
HOU	16.8	13.7	15.5	18.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	40	38	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-19	22	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Randy Brown	38	41	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.22	-6	-10	4	13.2	16.1	-2.95	17.5	14.6	2.87
Jason Caffey	51	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-7	-2	15.3	14.4	0.87	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Scottie Pippen	81	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	14.1	20.1	-5.95	16.0	15.1	0.91
Steve Kerr	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-5	-6	16.4	13.4	3.03	16.0	15.8	0.29
Michael Jordan	84	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	1	-18	15.0	14.4	0.51	15.5	19.6	-4.08
Toni Kukoc	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	1	-18	15.0	14.3	0.68	14.8	20.9	-6.16
Luc Longley	47	48	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	-5	-6	16.2	13.6	2.56	17.3	14.5	2.81

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	71	69	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.03	26	-10	36	16.2	14.9	1.36	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Matt Maloney	66	65	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.05	21	-5	26	15.6	16.5	-0.91	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Kevin Willis	80	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.01	23	-7	30	16.9	10.2	6.67	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Clyde Drexler	80	80	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.01	22	-6	28	15.4	18.4	-2.98	15.3	12.3	3.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	78	77	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	4	8	15.4	18.3	-2.92	14.4	17.2	-2.76
Matt Bullard	4	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	14	-12	9.2	16.2	-6.94	11.3	15.0	-3.69
Othella Harrington	26	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	21	-26	15.3	16.1	-0.76	16.9	14.1	2.75
Brent Price	2	3	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	20	-24	27.5	15.6	11.86	13.0	15.0	-1.97
Randy Livingston	30	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	23	-30	15.7	16.0	-0.24	15.0	14.9	0.09
Sam Mack	33	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	26	-36	16.2	15.7	0.54	14.6	15.1	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.81,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.9%
LAL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.5%
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.5%