inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 99 Excitement4.2 [937] MVPNick Anderson (ORL): +11.2%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback2.1 [331] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -20.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Anderson0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.02-0.001464%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Dennis Scott0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.130.010.041175%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Gerald Wilkins0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.02-0.011167%0.121-0.0320%-0.01
Brian Shaw0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.01-0.04275%0.051-0.01475%0.01
Dan Schayes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00167%0.0000.004100%0.00
Amal McCaskill0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Strong-0.030,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.02757%0.044-0.0700%0.00
Anfernee Hardaway-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.012045%0.002-0.052100%0.00
Rony Seikaly-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.04533%-0.014-0.072100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.01862%0.0600.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.14-0.010.081287%0.113-0.0600%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.031152%0.021-0.01540%-0.02
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Willie Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01350%0.031-0.0300%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.010.05871%0.033-0.071100%-0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.03-0.041237%-0.016-0.1300%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.19-0.04-0.021141%-0.095-0.121250%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.625.319.430.40.230.9133.2
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +22.3%
ORL +5.4%
ORL +2.5%
ORL +19.1%
ORL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.916.015.6108.896.7104.4
season16.415.8102.9103.1
opponent16.315.598.3103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.013.818.315.615.9
MIA16.818.315.113.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dennis Scott71710.410.090.310.0213-11416.015.30.7316.613.72.88
Gerald Wilkins50480.400.100.310.1784416.315.31.0016.215.70.45
Brian Shaw41390.400.100.300.051201215.716.0-0.3416.415.60.85
Anfernee Hardaway68680.340.160.19-0.0413-11416.214.91.2815.517.2-1.68
Nick Anderson79790.300.200.090.1848-416.114.71.3816.115.20.88
Dan Schayes29280.270.230.04-0.051111017.415.12.2715.916.0-0.09
Rony Seikaly57580.230.27-0.040.0857-215.616.3-0.7316.514.91.58
Derek Strong50510.150.35-0.200.09210-815.216.7-1.4815.516.5-0.98
Darrell Armstrong540.000.50-0.500.12-416-2010.016.2-6.218.216.3-8.06
Amal McCaskill540.000.50-0.500.12-416-2010.016.2-6.218.216.3-8.06

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Strickland550.00-0.500.50-0.124-162011.016.2-5.2510.016.2-6.21
John Crotty99-0.08-0.420.35-0.080-121214.216.1-1.9310.716.4-5.77
P.J. Brown6869-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.03-8-4-416.713.53.2516.713.43.30
Keith Askins7172-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-6015.418.0-2.5916.015.30.70
Willie Anderson3029-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-1-1016.915.51.3716.315.60.70
Ike Austin4242-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.13-8-4-415.716.2-0.5414.417.2-2.81
Alonzo Mourning6566-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.02-120-1215.716.6-0.9516.414.42.08
Voshon Lenard7981-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.20-7-5-216.114.91.1915.618.3-2.73
Tim Hardaway8182-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.07-120-1216.114.21.9316.410.75.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 109, DAL 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
NOH 98, LAL 820.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
NYK 99, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%