inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 109 Excitement4.1 [985] MVPCourtney Lee (MEM): +13.2%
Dallas Mavericks 90 Comeback1.6 [336] LVPCharlie Villanueva (DAL): -7.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.020.01793%0.1300.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.02865%0.111-0.03475%0.01
Jeff Green0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.01757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jordan Adams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.01383%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Marc Gasol0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.011356%0.072-0.041100%0.00
Beno Udrih0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01667%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Zach Randolph0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.030.021565%0.115-0.09450%-0.03
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00350%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Tyrus Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.010.041048%-0.0200.005100%0.02
Kosta Koufos-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.02750%-0.011-0.03475%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.010.031179%0.122-0.052100%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.004100%0.113-0.072100%0.01
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01-0.03540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.021242%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.0020%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02743%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03844%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.011656%0.053-0.082100%0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02736%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.020.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.727.516.724.81.728.2125.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +27.2%
MEM +3.0%
MEM +5.2%
MEM +11.9%
MEM +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game17.114.415.1119.897.8104.2
season15.914.6103.8107.6
opponent15.015.2105.0100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.514.817.719.917.1
DAL12.915.213.716.114.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter51530.410.090.32-0.1720-12116.218.2-1.9614.015.0-1.06
Nick Calathes51520.370.130.24-0.131721516.617.7-1.1114.314.5-0.15
Kosta Koufos39400.320.180.14-0.151631316.717.4-0.6715.013.91.08
Zach Randolph63640.310.190.11-0.11145917.815.52.3314.015.3-1.31
Jon Leuer20210.290.210.08-0.03118313.518.1-4.5814.014.5-0.47
Courtney Lee59600.250.250.01-0.01910-117.716.01.7113.915.4-1.47
Jordan Adams20210.190.31-0.12-0.04811-313.918.0-4.0716.113.92.24
Jeff Green57550.140.36-0.220.14019-1918.514.73.7414.614.20.42
Beno Udrih40400.130.37-0.240.07217-1517.716.61.1114.514.30.15
Marc Gasol53520.080.42-0.330.17-322-2517.616.31.3514.614.10.51
Tyrus Thomas220.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1719.017.01.9717.514.33.16

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-212313.814.5-0.6918.017.01.04
Greg Smith910-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-212312.714.6-1.9418.017.01.04
Al-Farouq Aminu2322-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-202113.114.9-1.7718.716.62.18
Devin Harris3131-0.14-0.360.220.15-10-9-112.315.5-3.1517.516.90.62
Dwight Powell2826-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-12513.314.9-1.5716.117.5-1.40
Jose Juan Barea2929-0.14-0.360.210.03-6-13714.914.20.7116.817.2-0.37
Charlie Villanueva1113-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-151114.814.40.4614.417.5-3.14
Richard Jefferson2625-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-10115.614.01.6215.317.7-2.42
Chandler Parsons6161-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-11-8-314.115.1-1.0317.715.91.81
Rajon Rondo5352-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-5-915.013.61.4716.517.8-1.30
Dirk Nowitzki5855-0.33-0.17-0.150.08-14-5-914.414.40.0016.817.5-0.75
Tyson Chandler5859-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-8-315.312.82.5217.715.91.85
Monta Ellis6362-0.40-0.10-0.300.01-14-5-914.913.31.6617.316.60.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 98, LAL 820.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
NJN 94, TOR 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
ORL 99, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.5%