NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	87		Excitement	10.2 [60]		MVP	Ricky Pierce (DEN): +43.9%
Denver Nuggets	88		Comeback	5.1 [278]		LVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): -28.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.00	9	80%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Donny Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	-0.00	9	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	12	37%	-0.13	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Bobby Phills	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	6	64%	-0.01	4	-0.22	2	50%	-0.10
Terrell Brandon	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.26	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	19	39%	-0.15	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.19	-0.00	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.25	2	100%	0.06

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.44	0.44	0.01	0.43	0.00	6	50%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	24	55%	0.22	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elmer Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	6	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	19.2	0.8	21.2	14.7	21.0	2.0	33.0	1.5	19.1	132.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +104.4%

CLE -15.2%

CLE -18.9%

CLE -16.3%

CLE -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	18.3	17.3	15.6	96.7	98.9	104.4
season	17.8	15.2		102.1	102.3
opponent	15.3	16.1		108.8	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.9	18.2	18.0	18.8	18.8	18.3
DEN	17.2	17.8	17.1	16.4	18.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	61	62	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.23	12	-13	25	18.3	18.1	0.24	17.1	17.5	-0.37
Chris Mills	63	60	0.10	-0.59	0.69	0.13	-1	0	-1	18.4	17.9	0.49	18.0	15.7	2.28
Antonio Lang	56	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-11	21	17.8	19.1	-1.27	17.1	17.6	-0.59
Bob Sura	38	38	-0.13	-0.36	0.23	-0.46	11	-12	23	18.0	18.5	-0.51	16.5	17.8	-1.37
Donny Marshall	18	15	-0.14	-0.35	0.20	-0.23	3	-4	7	17.1	18.6	-1.51	17.6	17.2	0.41
Mark West	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.03	-11	10	-21	18.7	18.1	0.60	17.5	17.1	0.37
Danny Ferry	51	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.21	-14	13	-27	19.1	17.1	2.01	16.6	18.1	-1.48
Bobby Phills	67	68	-0.67	0.18	-0.85	-0.50	-6	5	-11	18.1	18.8	-0.75	17.2	17.4	-0.16
Terrell Brandon	68	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.45	-9	8	-17	18.3	18.1	0.17	17.7	16.1	1.58

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	71	71	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.49	10	-9	19	16.9	18.7	-1.77	18.2	18.4	-0.20
Mark Jackson	77	78	0.68	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	-7	15	17.3	17.0	0.30	18.4	17.4	0.98
Darvin Ham	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	-9	19	17.4	16.8	0.58	18.5	17.7	0.86
Tom Hammonds	27	28	0.45	0.04	0.41	0.60	-5	6	-11	17.9	17.0	0.91	18.8	18.0	0.81
Bryant Stith	63	62	0.38	0.11	0.28	0.41	-1	2	-3	17.6	16.5	1.07	18.2	18.4	-0.24
Ricky Pierce	23	25	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	-3	7	16.0	17.7	-1.64	18.5	18.2	0.30
Ervin Johnson	73	73	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.07	0	1	-1	17.0	18.2	-1.21	18.0	19.4	-1.34
Brooks Thompson	10	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	2	-3	18.3	17.1	1.17	18.3	18.3	0.08
Elmer Bennett	5	4	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	7	-13	16.2	17.3	-1.12	11.2	18.6	-7.34
Dale Ellis	31	33	-0.44	0.93	-1.37	-0.03	-14	15	-29	17.7	17.0	0.69	18.5	18.2	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 121, CHH 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.07,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.5,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.58,1	89.6%
NOP 106, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.14,0.16,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.85,1	88.5%
IND 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.15,0.54,0.45,0.15,0.09,0.42,1	88.4%