NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	11.4 [20]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +32.6%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	20.0 [87]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -23.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.02	7	53%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.02
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.02	0.01	18	34%	0.01	2	-0.12	8	87%	0.07
Roy Hibbert	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	11	21%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	11	61%	0.14	7	-0.37	1	0%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.47,0.33	0.33	-0.03	0.35	0.00	19	51%	0.47	4	-0.14	15	60%	-0.09
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	13	46%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.18,-0.27,-0.33,-0.34,-0.34,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	16	68%	0.50	5	-0.48	9	89%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	32.2	15.7	29.3	2.5	40.0	2.7	11.3	159.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +98.0%

IND -23.4%

IND -0.1%

IND -33.5%

MIA +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	17.7	16.0	15.6	96.8	97.9	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		104.2	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		98.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	15.7	19.8	17.5	18.2	16.9	17.7
MIA	17.9	15.5	14.6	14.5	20.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	22	22	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.07	7	-9	16	17.0	17.8	-0.80	19.4	15.0	4.44
Lance Stephenson	14	14	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.04	5	-7	12	16.5	17.9	-1.36	19.9	15.3	4.61
A.J. Price	24	24	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-2	2	18.2	17.5	0.79	18.0	15.3	2.62
Dahntay Jones	39	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	18.5	17.1	1.46	16.6	15.6	0.96
Paul George	49	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	4	-10	18.1	17.2	0.84	14.3	18.0	-3.65
Darren Collison	62	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-2	2	17.5	17.9	-0.37	14.7	18.6	-3.96
Tyler Hansbrough	38	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	4	-10	17.8	17.6	0.17	18.0	14.7	3.23
Roy Hibbert	63	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-4	6	17.7	17.6	0.07	15.2	17.8	-2.63
David West	65	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	5	-12	17.8	17.4	0.41	14.5	19.2	-4.63
Danny Granger	78	78	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	2	-6	17.3	19.6	-2.29	15.6	17.6	-2.01

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	73	71	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.48	14	-12	26	14.7	20.2	-5.50	18.0	16.5	1.51
Shane Battier	35	36	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.80	-1	3	-4	18.6	14.5	4.16	17.6	17.7	-0.03
Chris Bosh	80	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	15.3	19.8	-4.51	18.3	14.4	3.88
LeBron James	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	15.9	16.7	-0.82	17.7	17.5	0.18
Mario Chalmers	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	2	-2	14.2	18.1	-3.85	17.1	18.3	-1.28
Udonis Haslem	55	54	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	6	-10	17.4	14.0	3.37	16.9	18.6	-1.72
Mike Miller	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	16.8	15.9	0.89	17.2	17.7	-0.47
Dexter Pittman	10	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	17.9	15.8	2.12	15.2	18.0	-2.86
Joel Anthony	35	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	7	-12	15.4	16.3	-0.95	17.1	18.0	-0.83
Norris Cole	39	40	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.33	-1	3	-4	17.8	14.7	3.09	18.7	16.9	1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.15,0.54,0.45,0.15,0.09,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.58,1	88.4%
SEA 91, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.28,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.41,0.28,1	87.8%
CLE 102, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.06,0.15,1	87.7%