NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	121		Excitement	11.3 [27]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +74.1%
Charlotte Hornets	122		Comeback	15.0 [87]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -37.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marty Conlon	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.05	0.16	0.01	9	68%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Todd Day	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	14	56%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Steve Hamer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Antoine Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	16	57%	0.16	4	-0.15	3	33%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.08	-0.28	-0.00	12	50%	-0.08	3	-0.27	8	62%	-0.06
Eric Williams	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.38	-0.05	-0.33	0.00	20	50%	-0.04	2	-0.34	10	70%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.37,0.31,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.74	0.74	0.27	0.50	0.04	27	77%	0.88	3	-0.14	8	87%	-0.04
Tony Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.02	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.02	18	57%	0.08	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	11	63%	-0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.5	25.5	14.8	25.2	2.4	36.1	1.5	12.5	143.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +41.7%

BOS -13.1%

BOS -11.3%

CHH +38.7%

BOS -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	15.6	114.2	113.0	104.4
season	14.8	15.7		101.8	108.0
opponent	16.0	14.7		106.5	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.9	16.2	15.1	17.2	20.4	16.2
CHH	13.9	13.2	13.7	13.6	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Hamer	9	10	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-3	5	12.6	16.5	-3.99	11.0	13.8	-2.80
Brett Szabo	39	37	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.20	-6	5	-11	16.5	16.0	0.44	12.6	14.0	-1.35
Marty Conlon	59	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-7	13	15.5	17.1	-1.65	13.9	13.1	0.84
Antoine Walker	90	91	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-3	5	16.2	16.1	0.17	13.9	11.5	2.45
David Wesley	101	103	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.55	7	-8	15	15.9	22.2	-6.29	13.7	10.8	2.87
Eric Williams	82	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-1	1	16.6	14.7	1.94	13.7	12.9	0.85
Todd Day	58	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	1	-3	16.0	16.4	-0.38	13.3	13.8	-0.42
Rick Fox	83	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	12	-25	16.6	15.0	1.60	13.4	13.9	-0.49

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Royal	36	32	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.49	9	-8	17	12.7	14.0	-1.31	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Vlade Divac	85	85	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.47	8	-7	15	13.7	12.9	0.79	16.4	15.5	0.85
Anthony Mason	104	102	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.42	6	-5	11	13.7	9.5	4.19	16.3	13.7	2.55
Glen Rice	107	105	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	13.7	0.0	13.66	16.3	6.0	10.30
Tony Smith	54	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	-4	9	13.2	13.9	-0.70	17.1	15.2	1.98
Dell Curry	53	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.38	-10	11	-21	13.6	13.5	0.17	16.8	15.6	1.17
Ricky Pierce	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	1	-1	13.7	13.5	0.16	14.7	16.6	-1.93
Matt Geiger	15	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	2	-3	11.3	13.9	-2.64	16.5	16.2	0.38
Tony Delk	53	50	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	5	-9	14.1	13.0	1.09	15.2	17.1	-1.98
Malik Rose	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	12	-23	13.8	13.5	0.33	13.8	16.5	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.07,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.5,0.61,0.46,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.6%
CLE 87, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.58,1	89.6%
NYK 88, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.73,1	88.9%