NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	7.4 [349]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +19.1%
Charlotte Hornets	116		Comeback	9.3 [161]		LVP	Robert Pack (NJN): -20.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed O'Bannon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	6	86%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.07	0.05	18	68%	0.18	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Khalid Reeves	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	112%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Yinka Dare	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Lloyd Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	16	41%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	12	33%	-0.14	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Robert Pack	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.01	17	49%	-0.04	7	-0.16	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.11	0.02	24	64%	0.26	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.05
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	13	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rafael Addison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	18	61%	0.18	6	-0.19	5	60%	0.01
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	15%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	0.06	14	41%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	28.6	15.6	24.3	2.4	28.6	125.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +22.2%

CHH +4.7%

CHH +10.6%

CHH +6.7%

CHH +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	15.6	13.3	15.6	104.0	117.2	104.4
season	15.4	15.7		101.7	108.0
opponent	16.0	14.9		106.5	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.1	13.3	17.7	18.1	15.6
CHH	11.6	13.8	14.2	14.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lloyd Daniels	32	32	0.36	-0.85	1.22	0.01	12	-24	36	13.8	16.5	-2.70	16.0	12.0	3.92
Yinka Dare	52	51	0.09	-0.58	0.67	-0.24	11	-23	34	15.3	16.0	-0.65	14.4	12.1	2.31
Khalid Reeves	21	22	0.07	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-14	16	14.1	16.0	-1.93	16.4	12.4	3.98
Ed O'Bannon	31	32	-0.10	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-13	14	16.2	15.3	0.88	14.6	12.7	1.85
Tony Massenburg	38	36	-0.16	-0.33	0.18	0.22	-13	1	-14	15.1	16.0	-0.92	12.2	13.9	-1.71
Robert Pack	79	77	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	-0.15	-14	2	-16	16.0	14.1	1.93	12.4	16.4	-3.98
Kerry Kittles	77	76	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.17	-14	2	-16	16.1	13.9	2.22	12.4	16.4	-4.01
Kendall Gill	91	90	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.12	-22	10	-32	15.8	13.4	2.39	13.2	14.9	-1.73
Jayson Williams	79	79	-0.81	0.32	-1.13	-0.14	-23	11	-34	15.9	14.7	1.15	12.6	16.2	-3.62

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	79	79	0.70	-0.21	0.91	0.17	18	-6	24	13.3	13.2	0.14	16.1	14.0	2.05
Glen Rice	93	95	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-3	18	12.9	19.2	-6.23	15.8	11.8	4.02
Anthony Mason	94	94	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.15	14	-2	16	13.2	15.6	-2.41	15.8	13.5	2.26
Vlade Divac	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	13.2	14.1	-0.88	15.8	14.5	1.24
Dell Curry	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	5	2	12.9	14.1	-1.20	15.7	15.5	0.13
Tony Smith	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	7	-2	14.1	12.9	1.20	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Jamie Feick	12	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	12	-12	14.1	13.2	0.88	14.5	15.8	-1.24
George Zidek	5	6	-0.11	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	17	-22	15.6	13.2	2.41	13.5	15.8	-2.26
Rafael Addison	6	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.08	-3	15	-18	19.2	12.9	6.23	11.8	15.8	-4.02
Tony Delk	20	21	-0.21	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	18	-24	13.2	13.3	-0.14	14.0	16.1	-2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.28,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.95,1	91.2%
TOR 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1	91.0%
MIN 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.85,1	90.8%