NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	90		Excitement	6.8 [437]		MVP	Mark Bryant (PHX): +9.7%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.1 [876]		LVP	Wayman Tisdale (PHX): -21.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Goldwire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	20	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Rafael Addison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	11	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Tony Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	6	61%	0.01	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	18	44%	-0.02	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Wesley Person	0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	21	56%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	11	73%	-0.04
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Tony Dumas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.01	9	48%	0.05	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.02	10	20%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.3	2.3	22.4	15.7	27.3	2.6	32.2	121.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -3.9%

PHX +3.7%

PHX +13.3%

PHX +30.3%

PHX +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHX	NBA	CHH	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.6	96.8	109.7	104.4
season	15.7	14.6		108.0	106.8
opponent	15.6	16.0		106.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.3	17.6	13.3	13.9	14.8
PHX	15.7	15.8	18.0	15.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	4	5	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-14	16	10.2	15.0	-4.71	16.6	16.2	0.41
Rafael Addison	4	5	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.04	2	-14	16	10.2	15.0	-4.71	16.6	16.2	0.41
George Zidek	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-10	8	15.9	14.5	1.36	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Tony Smith	73	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-13	14	14.8	14.4	0.45	16.6	15.0	1.65
Muggsy Bogues	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.12	-10	-2	-8	14.9	14.7	0.18	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Anthony Goldwire	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-9	6	16.2	13.2	2.98	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Dell Curry	53	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	13.3	16.7	-3.42	16.5	15.7	0.81
Vlade Divac	77	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	14.5	15.9	-1.36	16.3	15.9	0.42
Anthony Mason	89	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	2	-16	15.0	10.2	4.71	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Glen Rice	89	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	2	-16	15.0	10.2	4.71	16.2	16.6	-0.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-2	16	15.8	17.5	-1.68	14.3	16.0	-1.66
Kevin Johnson	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	0	12	16.3	15.7	0.55	14.5	17.0	-2.55
Wesley Person	93	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	16.2	0.0	16.22	14.8	0.0	14.75
Mark Bryant	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-1	14	14.9	17.0	-2.13	15.7	14.2	1.45
Danny Manning	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	5	2	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.5	13.8	1.72
Wayman Tisdale	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	16.6	15.9	0.71	15.2	14.4	0.76
Tony Dumas	37	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	7	-2	16.7	15.9	0.81	14.0	15.3	-1.32
Steve Nash	11	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	10	-8	15.7	16.3	-0.55	15.7	14.6	1.15
Loren Meyer	38	39	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.02	-12	24	-36	17.4	15.4	2.08	14.3	15.1	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.96,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.9,0.95,1,1	92.6%
LAL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	92.6%
MIN 92, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.99,1	92.5%