NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	74		Excitement	3.9 [994]		MVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): +4.0%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.0 [1042]		LVP	Vernon Maxwell (SAS): -19.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	80%	0.11	5	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Greg Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Sasser	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	7	45%	-0.03	4	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	12	43%	-0.04	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Will Perdue	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.03	-0.06	10	17%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	12	45%	-0.06	7	-0.13	5	0%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	7	37%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	16	51%	-0.00	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.02	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	14	34%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.25	-0.02	-0.11	14	34%	-0.04	8	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	25.5	15.0	27.1	1.8	26.1	121.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +7.2%

NJN +13.1%

NJN +15.8%

NJN +16.2%

SAS -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.2	15.6	74.7	92.8	104.4
season	16.8	15.4		100.8	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.4		106.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.1	13.9	16.0	12.8	14.2
NJN	15.3	17.6	12.8	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Sasser	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-13	10	13.9	14.4	-0.52	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Cory Alexander	35	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-8	0	13.8	14.4	-0.56	14.0	16.0	-1.94
Will Perdue	62	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-4	-8	14.5	13.6	0.87	14.7	16.1	-1.48
Avery Johnson	64	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-8	0	14.4	13.8	0.56	16.0	14.0	1.94
Greg Anderson	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	13.9	14.6	-0.76	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Vernon Maxwell	83	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	1	-18	14.4	13.3	1.05	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Carl Herrera	77	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	14.4	13.6	0.71	15.7	13.6	2.16
Monty Williams	82	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-5	-6	14.0	15.1	-1.12	15.5	13.9	1.61

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	84	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	-6	28	15.6	12.8	2.81	14.5	11.9	2.59
Robert Pack	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.02	15	1	14	15.2	15.3	-0.16	14.7	12.4	2.24
Kerry Kittles	84	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-1	18	15.0	16.8	-1.80	14.2	14.1	0.06
Shawn Bradley	60	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	1	14	16.1	13.7	2.39	14.7	13.2	1.46
Jayson Williams	59	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	9	-2	15.9	14.1	1.81	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Tony Massenburg	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	6	4	13.8	16.2	-2.35	14.0	14.3	-0.32
Ed O'Bannon	36	34	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	15	-14	13.6	16.1	-2.54	13.4	14.6	-1.19
Khalid Reeves	28	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	18	-20	15.8	15.0	0.86	12.9	14.7	-1.84
Yinka Dare	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.19	-5	21	-26	14.7	15.3	-0.66	12.9	14.5	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAC 91, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
IND 80, DAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%