NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	9.4 [94]		MVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): +27.1%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	4.0 [203]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -49.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	14	71%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.07	0.03	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Dwayne Schintzius	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	11	36%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	15	56%	0.05	4	-0.18	6	67%	0.05
Pooh Richardson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	5	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	0.00	3	25%	-0.16	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.13

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.12	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.06
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.42	-0.42	-0.05	-0.36	0.01	15	44%	-0.28	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.12,-0.19,-0.23,-0.38,-0.49	-0.49	-0.18	-0.31	0.00	25	43%	-0.24	6	-0.25	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	27.4	17.6	25.3	1.8	35.3	133.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.6%

HOU -13.1%

HOU -6.2%

LAC +22.1%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.6	101.1	100.0	104.4
season	15.8	15.5		102.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.1		103.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.2	14.5	15.4	16.4	14.8
HOU	15.0	15.6	17.4	17.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	71	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-1	6	13.9	17.5	-3.58	16.6	15.6	0.98
Rodney Rogers	71	69	0.61	-0.10	0.71	0.32	10	-6	16	14.2	16.7	-2.54	16.4	16.0	0.39
Loy Vaught	75	72	0.59	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-2	8	15.3	13.0	2.28	16.3	16.6	-0.37
Darrick Martin	66	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	-2	8	13.9	17.1	-3.21	16.4	16.3	0.10
Brent Barry	36	34	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	-2	8	15.8	14.2	1.64	16.2	16.4	-0.22
Pooh Richardson	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.05	3	1	2	16.9	14.4	2.55	18.4	15.9	2.47
Dwayne Schintzius	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	5	-6	18.7	14.4	4.34	14.3	16.6	-2.29
Malik Sealy	58	56	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	14.2	15.8	-1.64	16.7	15.7	0.97
Terry Dehere	12	11	-0.10	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	9	-14	17.2	14.5	2.79	13.4	16.7	-3.39
Bo Outlaw	27	29	-0.12	0.63	-0.75	-0.10	-1	5	-6	15.7	14.4	1.29	17.2	15.9	1.27
Lamond Murray	28	26	-0.16	0.67	-0.83	0.05	-7	11	-18	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.8	16.9	-2.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Moore	12	13	0.20	-0.71	0.91	-0.03	8	-12	20	15.0	16.5	-1.54	17.3	14.4	2.89
Matt Bullard	24	25	0.09	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-11	18	15.4	16.7	-1.31	16.0	14.4	1.66
Matt Maloney	58	60	-0.05	-0.46	0.41	-0.05	0	-4	4	16.1	16.8	-0.65	15.0	14.5	0.55
Kevin Willis	52	56	-0.20	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-9	14	16.1	16.7	-0.62	15.3	14.2	1.11
Randy Livingston	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-2	0	17.3	15.8	1.45	14.9	14.8	0.14
Charles Barkley	86	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-4	4	16.4	15.6	0.78	14.9	14.2	0.65
Sam Mack	41	41	-0.57	0.06	-0.63	-0.10	-16	12	-28	17.1	15.7	1.33	12.5	16.6	-4.18
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	72	-0.61	0.10	-0.71	-0.32	-10	6	-16	16.2	17.0	-0.85	15.1	13.8	1.37
Clyde Drexler	79	81	-0.71	0.20	-0.91	-0.36	-12	8	-20	16.5	15.0	1.54	14.4	17.3	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.28,0	89.6%
NYK 93, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.63,0	89.5%
LAC 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0	89.5%