NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	8.9 [132]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +38.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	7.9 [123]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -24.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.38	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.38	0.02	0.38	0.02	20	52%	0.46	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	15	55%	0.21	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	15	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.33	0.33	0.06	0.27	0.00	4	83%	0.39	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.07
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.35,0.29,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.09	-0.00	11	59%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.02	14	57%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	13	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	0.00	7	28%	-0.16	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	29.3	15.8	24.1	2.3	32.5	127.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.4%

NYK +18.7%

PHI -17.2%

NYK +12.3%

NYK +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.3	106.9	103.4	106.0
season	14.7	15.1		105.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.2	16.0	15.7	16.3	16.5
PHI	16.9	15.3	17.0	15.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	56	60	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.44	13	-12	25	16.1	17.4	-1.37	17.8	12.9	4.89
Jared Jeffries	77	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-7	15	16.4	17.3	-0.86	16.6	12.6	4.04
David Lee	82	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.51	-2	3	-5	16.5	16.6	-0.06	16.0	19.0	-2.98
Chris Duhon	57	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-3	7	15.8	18.0	-2.18	17.6	13.5	4.10
Wilson Chandler	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.50	-2	3	-5	16.3	17.6	-1.35	15.8	17.7	-1.90
Nate Robinson	30	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	4	-7	18.0	15.8	2.18	13.5	17.6	-4.10
Jonathan Bender	15	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.00	-4	5	-9	17.1	16.4	0.64	14.9	16.4	-1.58
Al Harrington	49	48	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.00	-9	10	-19	17.5	15.3	2.17	14.8	17.8	-3.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	46	47	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-5	9	14.9	17.6	-2.74	16.8	16.2	0.58
Thaddeus Young	61	59	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-2	3	16.0	16.7	-0.76	16.8	16.0	0.85
Jrue Holiday	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-1	1	16.4	16.1	0.25	16.7	16.5	0.19
Elton Brand	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-1	1	15.6	16.7	-1.13	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Willie Green	30	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	3	-7	17.0	15.8	1.22	16.2	16.7	-0.53
Samuel Dalembert	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	16.8	15.1	1.75	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Andre Iguodala	74	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	16.5	14.7	1.75	16.6	16.3	0.28
Allen Iverson	62	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	0	-1	16.4	15.7	0.70	16.4	16.9	-0.55
Marreese Speights	15	15	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.50	-1	0	-1	15.9	16.3	-0.39	17.3	16.4	0.96
Rodney Carney	28	28	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	3	-7	16.4	16.1	0.24	16.5	16.5	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.71,0.77,0.63,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 80, HOU 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.46,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.29,0.54,0.36,0.72,0.68,0.42,0	91.4%
CHI 87, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.73,0	91.0%
POR 91, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.66,0.57,0.58,0	90.6%