NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	7.4 [351]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +20.1%
Chicago Bulls	81		Comeback	5.9 [252]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -20.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Ferrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.13	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.01	11	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	46%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	18	36%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	5	20%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.21	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.14	0.01	7	44%	-0.14	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	7	79%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	17	44%	-0.07	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.09
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.09	-0.04	29	45%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	24.3	15.8	24.1	2.5	33.2	127.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +15.3%

CHI +7.7%

CHI +24.4%

IND -2.8%

CHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	17.6	15.6	89.8	91.0	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		103.6	110.5
opponent	16.1	16.3		99.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	14.1	16.2	15.6	14.9
CHI	17.7	20.1	15.8	17.1	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Ferrell	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-3	4	13.1	15.2	-2.10	21.9	17.0	4.96
Jerome Allen	23	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	13.6	15.4	-1.75	20.5	16.5	4.02
Erick Dampier	51	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-1	0	15.5	14.0	1.55	17.7	17.6	0.13
Vincent Askew	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	7	-16	14.1	15.4	-1.35	18.5	17.1	1.36
Reggie Miller	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	15.2	13.8	1.34	16.7	21.2	-4.55
Eddie Johnson	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	4	-10	13.7	15.5	-1.80	17.7	17.6	0.06
Dale Davis	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	15.4	13.9	1.44	17.2	18.6	-1.41
Travis Best	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.55	5	-7	12	15.4	13.8	1.65	16.6	19.6	-3.02
Derrick McKey	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.50	3	-5	8	15.1	14.4	0.79	17.1	18.9	-1.79
Antonio Davis	46	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	0	-2	14.4	15.5	-1.06	17.9	17.3	0.57

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	70	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	-3	8	16.7	20.9	-4.15	15.1	14.2	0.88
Steve Kerr	52	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-13	28	18.2	16.8	1.35	15.0	14.7	0.34
Scottie Pippen	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	17.7	16.6	1.10	15.1	12.9	2.23
Michael Jordan	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	1	0	16.8	22.1	-5.36	15.2	13.5	1.66
Bill Wennington	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	-3	8	17.1	18.3	-1.12	15.4	14.2	1.22
Robert Parish	12	13	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	-3	8	17.8	17.6	0.24	16.5	14.6	1.93
Randy Brown	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	8	-14	14.3	18.2	-3.89	13.0	15.2	-2.20
Dickey Simpkins	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	2	-2	23.3	17.0	6.35	12.5	15.1	-2.64
Jud Buechler	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	8	-14	15.2	18.0	-2.85	12.7	15.2	-2.58
Jason Caffey	32	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	7	-12	19.7	16.5	3.21	13.8	15.4	-1.61
Ron Harper	39	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	10	-18	19.3	16.3	2.99	14.8	15.0	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 104, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.48,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.31,0.47,0.47,0.81,0.72,0.91,1,1	92.3%
PHX 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.62,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	91.9%
DAL 85, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.54,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.9%