NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	101		Excitement	6.9 [430]		MVP	Glen Rice (CHH): +23.3%
Washington Bullets	92		Comeback	1.2 [628]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -37.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.10	-0.04	23	64%	0.27	3	-0.04	13	100%	0.07
Matt Geiger	0.05	0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	14	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
George Zidek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.08	0.00	13	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	61%	0.09	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.05
Rafael Addison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	21	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	23	44%	-0.07	4	-0.19	4	50%	-0.04
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.33,-0.36,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.23	-0.02	18	44%	-0.08	6	-0.30	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	29.1	15.4	26.2	1.8	30.1	127.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +37.2%

CHH +16.1%

WAS -24.9%

CHH +29.6%

WAS -8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	109.8	100.0	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		108.0	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.0		103.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.0	15.4	17.0	18.0	16.0
WAS	15.4	17.3	13.8	14.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-6	21	15.3	19.7	-4.42	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Matt Geiger	76	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-4	17	15.6	18.0	-2.38	15.6	13.5	2.09
Vlade Divac	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-4	17	16.0	16.5	-0.58	15.6	12.8	2.79
Glen Rice	90	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	15.8	27.0	-11.21	15.4	10.7	4.76
Anthony Mason	87	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	16.3	11.4	4.90	14.9	21.0	-6.13
Tony Smith	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	8	-7	15.7	16.1	-0.39	13.6	15.4	-1.77
George Zidek	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	26.5	15.8	10.70	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Rafael Addison	30	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	18	-27	17.0	15.6	1.39	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Anthony Goldwire	12	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	14	-19	20.0	15.4	4.56	16.5	15.1	1.48

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	19	20	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-14	19	18.5	14.4	4.10	17.1	15.7	1.36
Harvey Grant	42	41	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.20	12	-21	33	15.6	15.0	0.55	16.1	16.0	0.12
Tracy Murray	39	41	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.19	9	-18	27	15.6	15.0	0.60	18.2	14.3	3.95
Jaren Jackson	13	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-14	19	20.2	14.5	5.78	12.8	16.6	-3.83
Juwan Howard	85	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	14.6	24.0	-9.45	16.3	13.1	3.13
Chris Webber	88	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	0	-9	15.1	18.0	-2.85	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Calbert Cheaney	44	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	13	-35	15.0	15.6	-0.61	14.8	17.1	-2.24
Rod Strickland	73	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	5	-19	14.4	18.5	-4.10	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Gheorghe Muresan	57	56	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.13	-24	15	-39	15.2	15.4	-0.21	15.8	16.4	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.19,0.45,0.11,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	92.6%
UTA 109, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.4%
IND 96, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.07,0	92.3%