NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	6.0 [581]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +14.7%
Houston Rockets	104		Comeback	1.1 [939]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -22.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	8	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Owes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	0.01	0.06	28	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	33%	-0.06
B.J. Armstrong	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	17	42%	-0.01	8	-0.22	6	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	19	76%	0.18	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	19	50%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	11	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	25.1	16.4	23.6	2.4	27.6	123.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.0%

HOU +9.9%

GSW -2.0%

HOU +9.0%

HOU +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.8	17.5	15.6	103.3	113.0	104.4
season	15.0	15.5		104.4	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	13.8	13.2	14.9	13.8
HOU	18.1	18.1	15.6	18.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Owes	13	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-6	3	14.1	13.7	0.34	19.1	17.3	1.80
Andrew DeClercq	43	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-6	3	13.7	13.9	-0.16	18.2	16.9	1.35
Todd Fuller	37	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-5	1	14.0	13.6	0.41	16.7	18.0	-1.30
Mark Price	64	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-9	9	13.1	15.4	-2.26	16.9	19.1	-2.20
Latrell Sprewell	78	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-11	13	13.5	15.6	-2.11	17.9	15.6	2.22
Bimbo Coles	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-8	7	14.2	13.4	0.78	18.4	16.8	1.60
B.J. Armstrong	28	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	0	-9	15.4	13.1	2.26	19.1	16.9	2.20
Chris Mullin	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	5	-19	13.7	14.2	-0.55	16.8	20.9	-4.12
Joe Smith	83	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	4	-17	13.9	13.1	0.74	17.2	20.9	-3.67

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	82	83	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-8	25	17.3	19.0	-1.66	14.1	10.4	3.70
Hakeem Olajuwon	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-4	17	17.2	18.2	-0.96	13.8	13.7	0.17
Mario Elie	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	17.3	18.1	-0.75	13.8	13.8	-0.05
Clyde Drexler	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-1	11	17.5	17.6	-0.13	13.1	15.5	-2.40
Matt Maloney	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-3	15	17.2	18.0	-0.81	13.2	14.6	-1.45
Randy Livingston	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	12	-15	18.0	17.2	0.81	14.6	13.2	1.45
Sam Mack	22	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	7	-5	18.1	17.3	0.81	16.3	13.0	3.30
Brent Price	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	17.9	17.5	0.41	14.1	13.7	0.34
Matt Bullard	12	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	17.2	17.6	-0.31	12.3	14.0	-1.66
Kevin Willis	39	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	19	-29	18.6	16.7	1.90	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Othella Harrington	2	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	11	-13	13.5	17.6	-4.11	3.0	13.9	-10.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, CHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MEM 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.0%