NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	87		Excitement	7.1 [390]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (VAN): +43.7%
Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Comeback	5.2 [297]		LVP	George Lynch (VAN): -29.5%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.00	15	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Harvey Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	23	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	14	49%	0.09	4	-0.22	7	71%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.35,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.18	0.28	0.02	17	75%	0.47	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.12	-0.01	17	56%	0.16	3	-0.06	9	67%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.03	8	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.04
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	13	37%	-0.12	4	-0.17	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	24.5	15.2	26.4	1.8	36.2	131.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +34.3%

VAN +0.7%

VAN +20.9%

WAS -5.4%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	VAN	NBA	WAS	VAN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.6	15.6	98.9	103.4	104.4
season	14.8	16.3		104.3	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.4	16.5	15.9	18.0	16.2
VAN	16.2	16.2	17.6	16.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	58	58	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-8	12	15.3	17.8	-2.54	15.9	17.8	-1.82
Tracy Murray	41	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	17.2	15.3	1.94	15.0	18.1	-3.11
Chris Webber	79	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-10	16	15.3	23.6	-8.24	17.0	13.5	3.46
Rod Strickland	67	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-13	22	15.1	19.7	-4.61	17.2	14.6	2.56
Juwan Howard	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.1	16.3	-0.13	16.7	15.7	1.00
Chris Whitney	23	23	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	11	-26	18.3	15.4	2.90	13.6	17.6	-4.01
Jaren Jackson	45	47	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.34	-13	9	-22	17.3	15.0	2.36	16.8	16.3	0.52
Gheorghe Muresan	54	52	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	7	-18	17.1	14.7	2.32	18.0	14.4	3.59

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Mayberry	55	57	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.52	10	-6	16	16.7	16.4	0.28	16.3	15.9	0.40
Anthony Peeler	66	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-4	12	16.9	15.6	1.24	16.8	14.0	2.84
Blue Edwards	42	43	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-8	20	15.4	17.7	-2.32	17.0	15.3	1.74
George Lynch	61	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-3	10	16.9	15.9	0.93	16.9	14.4	2.46
Roy Rogers	31	30	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-8	20	15.5	17.2	-1.72	19.1	14.6	4.46
Bryant Reeves	67	67	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.24	-10	14	-24	16.7	16.0	0.75	14.6	21.2	-6.67
Lawrence Moten	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	16.7	16.5	0.21	13.9	16.5	-2.60
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	70	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.18	-11	15	-26	17.0	14.3	2.69	15.0	20.7	-5.74
Moochie Norris	33	31	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.14	-6	10	-16	16.4	16.7	-0.28	15.9	16.3	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.71,0.62,0.64,0.86,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 87, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	91.4%
MIL 88, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.16,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	91.4%
SAC 98, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.85,1	91.3%