inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 102 Excitement12.3 [15] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +36.0%
Orlando Magic 95 Comeback4.0 [180] LVPDennis Scott (ORL): -70.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0.360,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.360.020.34-0.012852%0.381-0.021090%0.07
Vincent Askew0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.060.00540%0.0500.0000%0.00
Eddie Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Allen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.01558%0.012-0.04250%-0.00
Duane Ferrell-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.001030%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Derrick McKey-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.04-0.10-0.00662%0.053-0.18450%0.00
Dale Davis-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.08-0.01922%-0.131-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.08-0.230.011246%-0.143-0.17475%-0.03
Travis Best-0.440,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.44-0.08-0.340.011449%-0.343-0.10989%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.050.12-0.01537%0.0700.00667%-0.01
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.010.01-0.040.04-0.011150%0.133-0.1200%0.00
Dan Schayes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.06-0.01646%-0.0500.0010%-0.02
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.00669%0.124-0.194100%0.05
Rony Seikaly0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.06-0.230.011750%-0.212-0.081275%-0.13
Gerald Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.38,-0.38,-0.46,-0.46-0.46-0.14-0.32-0.001434%-0.243-0.22475%0.01
Dennis Scott0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.44,-0.58,-0.64,-0.64,-0.7,-0.7,-0.71-0.71-0.09-0.580.042747%-0.525-0.18475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.32.626.116.531.52.529.31.817.92.417.4173.4
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.81.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +38.9%
IND +3.7%
ORL -12.6%
IND +34.5%
ORL -14.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game15.816.915.695.389.6104.4
season15.316.4103.6102.9
opponent15.516.3103.5101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
IND14.216.716.416.616.516.0
ORL17.114.717.916.921.017.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick McKey61620.71-0.210.930.3014-72115.016.7-1.6717.016.70.32
Antonio Davis80780.70-0.200.900.4110-31316.015.01.0717.714.82.85
Reggie Miller87840.69-0.190.870.0422-153715.517.0-1.5217.813.64.14
Dale Davis95920.54-0.040.570.1613-61916.113.42.6517.115.51.63
Travis Best89880.51-0.010.520.1911-41516.412.53.9317.514.03.51
Erick Dampier12120.070.43-0.36-0.0543113.916.0-2.0816.417.0-0.56
Jerome Allen2223-0.100.60-0.700.08-613-1914.616.1-1.4213.717.8-4.11
Duane Ferrell3634-0.170.67-0.840.03-714-2117.714.82.9514.917.9-2.99
Eddie Johnson1314-0.190.69-0.880.08-916-2513.216.1-2.8914.017.4-3.36
Vincent Askew4043-0.260.76-1.010.24-1724-4115.016.2-1.2216.417.3-0.84

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong48480.26-0.761.01-0.0410-172715.917.7-1.7917.614.33.26
Derek Strong40360.20-0.700.89-0.048-152315.417.8-2.3516.115.60.44
Dan Schayes880.06-0.560.620.002-91117.216.90.3617.215.61.60
Gerald Wilkins9596-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.30-6-1-516.818.1-1.3115.518.2-2.69
Dennis Scott9497-0.550.05-0.60-0.23-114-1517.214.92.2516.112.63.49
Horace Grant8990-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-136-1917.414.13.3315.417.5-2.03
Rony Seikaly9294-0.630.13-0.77-0.34-103-1317.115.71.3815.617.3-1.75
Brian Shaw6466-0.760.26-1.02-0.32-158-2317.316.31.0814.817.3-2.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 95, PHX 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.42,187.1%
SAS 111, TOR 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,087.1%
LAL 93, ATL 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.7,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.27,186.7%