inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 111 Excitement13.2 [13] MVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): +32.6%
Toronto Raptors 106 Comeback4.2 [402] LVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): -60.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.190.020.16-0.001544%0.1900.004100%0.07
Tim Duncan0.170,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.170.060.120.012157%0.212-0.054100%0.02
Tiago Splitter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.01438%0.0300.00560%0.01
Patty Mills0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00275%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.05-0.011055%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Tony Parker-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.34,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.21,-0.12,-0.030.03-0.040.022755%0.184-0.21475%0.01
DeJuan Blair-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Danny Green-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.090.01-0.100.001350%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Gary Neal-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.08-0.00629%-0.121-0.02250%-0.05

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.330.330.090.260.031371%0.503-0.17580%0.09
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.120.120.060.070.011656%0.161-0.044100%0.02
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.001162%0.1000.00250%-0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.010.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.002845%0.141-0.15887%0.02
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.020.00533%-0.022-0.062100%0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27-0.27-0.11-0.17-0.021430%-0.112-0.152100%0.02
Andrea Bargnani0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.47,-0.47,-0.53,-0.58,-0.51,-0.6,-0.6-0.60-0.27-0.35-0.021910%-0.562-0.0410%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game21.61.828.316.424.52.432.01.816.91.815.2162.7
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.32.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +58.1%
TOR -32.9%
TOR -13.7%
SAS +30.7%
SAS +7.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASTORNBASASTORNBA
this game14.915.815.497.493.8104.1
season15.216.1106.4104.4
opponent15.315.1105.899.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS15.115.313.917.413.214.9
TOR15.519.914.916.112.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan80790.59-0.090.680.339-41315.413.81.6015.715.9-0.19
Tony Parker90900.54-0.040.580.289-41315.014.30.7515.716.1-0.39
Manu Ginobili74720.480.020.470.258-31114.016.5-2.4515.216.8-1.53
Danny Green98970.470.030.440.50-16-714.815.1-0.2815.119.7-4.63
Boris Diaw68670.360.140.230.39-16-714.315.7-1.3615.416.3-0.85
Matt Bonner11110.160.34-0.18-0.026-1716.814.72.1416.915.71.25
Patty Mills11110.030.47-0.440.0014-312.015.2-3.1916.015.80.25
Tiago Splitter42420.030.47-0.450.0305-514.015.4-1.4416.015.60.43
Gary Neal64650.020.48-0.45-0.0323-115.214.40.8316.914.22.69
Nando De Colo1312-0.090.59-0.670.06-510-1516.214.71.5216.215.70.43
DeJuan Blair3130-0.100.60-0.70-0.01-38-1115.814.61.2216.215.60.62

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominic McGuire33300.21-0.710.920.210-5514.916.1-1.2315.014.80.15
Terrence Ross38390.10-0.600.69-0.086-111716.815.31.4815.614.51.07
Amir Johnson35340.00-0.500.500.03-1-4316.415.50.8614.714.9-0.21
Ed Davis4039-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-50-518.214.43.7914.914.90.02
Andrea Bargnani7375-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.300-5514.418.2-3.7914.914.9-0.02
Kyle Lowry8789-0.520.02-0.54-0.37-50-515.716.0-0.3415.313.41.90
DeMar DeRozan102103-0.550.05-0.59-0.31-83-1115.518.3-2.7614.518.8-4.35
Jonas Valanciunas7780-0.610.11-0.73-0.50-4-1-315.715.9-0.2014.914.70.21
Jose Calderon8081-0.630.13-0.76-0.39-83-1115.915.50.4214.615.6-1.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 133, DAL 1260.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.28,088.4%
IND 102, ORL 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.05,087.1%
DET 104, MIN 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.1,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.01,087.0%