NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	133		Excitement	12.8 [12]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +50.2%
Dallas Mavericks	126		Comeback	2.9 [413]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -38.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.5	0.19	0.32	0.01	20	65%	0.50	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Bruce Bowen	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	0.00	2	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.01	5	130%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.16	0.01	25	50%	0.24	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.06
George Hill	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	3	78%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Fabricio Oberto	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.02	7	63%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Ime Udoka	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	21	41%	-0.14	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.24,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.06	-0.32	0.01	15	43%	-0.18	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.14	0.26	0.02	15	77%	0.57	3	-0.20	1	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	16	58%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	2	90%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.06
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Devean George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	14	59%	0.25	6	-0.31	4	100%	0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.18	0.01	-0.16	0.03	33	49%	-0.12	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	29.8	15.8	27.2	2.6	28.7	1.8	14.2	2.5	16.5	162.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -25.1%

SAS +17.1%

SAS +16.8%

SAS +24.2%

SAS +16.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	119.8	114.5	106.4
season	16.4	15.6		106.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		107.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	16.1	14.2	17.3	14.6	13.4	15.1
DAL	15.9	16.4	15.4	16.7	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	43	43	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.22	21	-14	35	14.7	15.4	-0.77	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Tony Parker	91	90	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	15.1	15.2	-0.07	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Tim Duncan	96	95	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-7	21	15.2	14.6	0.63	16.4	16.0	0.41
Roger Mason Jr.	53	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	8	-9	15.3	15.0	0.30	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Michael Finley	61	61	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-1	9	15.4	14.8	0.63	16.4	16.3	0.09
Matt Bonner	57	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	0	7	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.2	16.5	-0.21
George Hill	22	23	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	9	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.46	18.0	15.9	2.14
Ime Udoka	3	3	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	6	-5	14.3	15.2	-0.83	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Manu Ginobili	81	81	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	18	-29	14.8	16.2	-1.40	16.2	16.7	-0.41
Fabricio Oberto	15	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	14	-21	14.6	15.2	-0.63	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Kurt Thomas	15	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.08	-10	17	-27	17.7	14.7	2.92	14.9	16.6	-1.72

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	45	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-4	1	15.3	17.1	-1.80	16.0	14.5	1.54
Antoine Wright	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-6	5	17.3	15.9	1.40	14.6	15.4	-0.72
Brandon Bass	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-5	3	17.0	16.2	0.79	13.0	15.8	-2.75
DeSagana Diop	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-2	-3	16.4	16.3	0.05	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Erick Dampier	68	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	16.1	16.8	-0.66	15.9	13.8	2.12
Jose Juan Barea	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-9	11	16.7	15.5	1.21	14.7	16.2	-1.52
Jason Kidd	87	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	0	-7	16.1	17.1	-0.98	15.4	14.2	1.22
Dirk Nowitzki	98	99	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	16.4	16.3	0.02	15.2	14.4	0.82
Jason Terry	86	87	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	5	-17	16.4	16.1	0.29	15.0	15.6	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, DET 107	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.68,0.85,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.28,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.58,0	88.7%
SAS 111, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,0	88.4%
LAC 117, IND 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.46,0.43,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0,0	87.3%