NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	6.3 [517]		MVP	Muggsy Bogues (CHH): +18.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	84		Comeback	2.8 [254]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -34.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	14	80%	0.22	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	17	51%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Matt Geiger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	11	39%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.05	-0.04	16	67%	0.17	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	14	50%	-0.05	4	-0.08	10	70%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.29	-0.12	-0.06	18	27%	-0.15	7	-0.20	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	25.5	15.3	23.4	2.5	29.6	123.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +33.1%

CHH +1.8%

PHI -4.5%

CHH +18.4%

CHH +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.6	103.3	92.3	104.4
season	15.7	14.7		108.0	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.0		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.5	15.6	12.3	16.5	15.1
PHI	15.6	14.4	17.0	20.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	71	72	0.64	-0.13	0.77	0.23	14	-5	19	15.7	12.8	2.90	17.4	14.1	3.32
Dell Curry	67	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-6	21	14.8	16.2	-1.40	17.6	13.9	3.70
Anthony Mason	79	81	0.49	0.02	0.47	0.11	13	-4	17	14.6	19.0	-4.41	17.2	12.5	4.70
Matt Geiger	47	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-1	11	16.6	13.5	3.11	16.2	17.2	-1.06
Tony Smith	28	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	2	5	15.2	15.1	0.07	16.9	16.6	0.34
Muggsy Bogues	64	67	0.21	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	8	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.19	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Vlade Divac	43	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	10	-11	13.5	16.6	-3.11	17.2	16.2	1.06
Malik Rose	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	15	-21	18.3	14.4	3.90	12.9	17.5	-4.54
Scott Burrell	27	27	-0.07	0.58	-0.65	-0.04	-1	10	-11	14.9	15.2	-0.30	14.3	17.7	-3.34
Tony Delk	7	7	-0.09	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	16	-23	11.9	15.4	-3.55	12.0	17.1	-5.07

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-15	21	12.7	17.3	-4.62	19.4	14.5	4.94
Mark Hendrickson	3	3	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.12	4	-13	17	9.7	16.9	-7.25	15.7	15.1	0.55
Doug Overton	19	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	17.7	16.4	1.33	17.0	14.6	2.43
Michael Cage	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-7	5	14.4	17.1	-2.66	18.6	14.5	4.16
Mark Bradtke	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-9	9	16.2	16.9	-0.66	15.5	15.0	0.57
Scott Williams	48	46	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-7	5	17.8	15.4	2.39	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Mark Davis	29	31	-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	15.3	17.3	-2.01	16.9	14.2	2.75
Clar. Weatherspoon	73	70	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	16.8	16.2	0.57	14.1	18.8	-4.71
Allen Iverson	72	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	3	-15	16.4	17.7	-1.33	14.6	17.0	-2.43
Derrick Coleman	81	80	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.13	-13	4	-17	17.2	12.5	4.70	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Jerry Stackhouse	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	6	-21	17.3	12.7	4.62	14.5	19.4	-4.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0	94.0%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	93.0%
GSW 117, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0	93.0%