NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	97		Excitement	4.6 [857]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +3.5%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	1.2 [553]		LVP	Bobby Hurley (SAC): -16.8%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	21	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	59%	0.08	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	13	66%	0.05	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	20	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	14	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	13	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	4	17%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.5	23.4	15.7	25.1	1.5	30.6	124.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +35.4%

WAS +6.9%

WAS +13.4%

SAC -5.9%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	15.5	15.6	95.1	91.8	104.4
season	14.8	15.4		104.3	102.4
opponent	15.4	15.8		106.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	14.1	14.3	13.1	13.5
SAC	15.3	16.6	15.1	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	80	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-6	20	12.4	17.5	-5.08	15.7	15.0	0.61
Juwan Howard	84	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	-1	10	13.1	15.3	-2.26	15.5	15.4	0.14
Chris Webber	94	89	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	1	6	13.4	14.9	-1.52	15.2	18.7	-3.51
Jaren Jackson	36	34	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-1	10	13.8	13.3	0.56	16.3	15.1	1.23
Harvey Grant	32	29	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	2	4	13.2	13.6	-0.41	15.7	15.5	0.18
Calbert Cheaney	66	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	9	-10	13.3	13.8	-0.56	15.1	16.3	-1.23
Gheorghe Muresan	56	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	3	2	14.0	12.8	1.25	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Tracy Murray	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	6	-4	15.7	12.4	3.35	16.6	14.9	1.73
Ben Wallace	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	3.0	13.6	-10.57	15.0	15.5	-0.53
Chris Whitney	27	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	17	-26	15.1	12.9	2.23	14.9	15.7	-0.86

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Hurley	46	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-9	10	14.7	16.3	-1.62	13.9	13.1	0.72
Mitch Richmond	80	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-7	6	15.5	15.4	0.14	13.8	11.7	2.04
Billy Owens	94	98	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-5	2	15.3	23.0	-7.71	13.7	7.7	5.95
Michael Smith	90	95	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	15.1	20.4	-5.28	13.3	15.6	-2.26
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	51	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	16.3	14.7	1.62	13.1	13.9	-0.72
Olden Polynice	85	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.7	14.3	1.36	13.4	14.1	-0.78
Corliss Williamson	39	41	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	11	-30	16.6	14.8	1.74	12.8	13.9	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
ORL 93, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.08,0	95.1%
LAC 98, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%