NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	5.4 [736]		MVP	Ben Gordon (ORL): +6.1%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	1.3 [232]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): -20.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	73%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	15	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.03	-0.05	3	50%	0.06	5	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	18	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	100%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	51%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	5	58%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.04	15	63%	0.05	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	13	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.05	0.02	14	43%	-0.05	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	32.2	14.6	21.2	2.3	44.3	140.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +46.9%

ORL +2.5%

PHX -0.1%

PHX -5.0%

ORL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.1	94.9	90.0	104.2
season	14.9	14.4		100.4	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.5	14.0	14.2	13.3	14.7
PHX	12.5	16.5	16.4	12.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	56	58	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-7	17	13.6	16.3	-2.73	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Tobias Harris	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.36	1	2	-1	15.3	13.3	1.92	13.6	16.3	-2.78
Evan Fournier	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	3	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.28	13.5	16.5	-2.96
Nikola Vucevic	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	4	-5	15.1	13.6	1.51	13.5	16.7	-3.15
Willie Green	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-3	9	14.5	14.8	-0.31	16.3	13.2	3.06
Victor Oladipo	77	78	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	9	-15	15.2	12.8	2.44	13.7	16.7	-2.96
Ben Gordon	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	0	3	14.9	14.6	0.28	16.5	13.5	2.96
Kyle O'Quinn	27	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	1	1	13.3	15.3	-1.92	16.3	13.6	2.78
Channing Frye	53	54	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	3	-3	14.8	14.6	0.15	15.6	12.9	2.74

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-6	9	15.2	13.5	1.66	15.7	13.7	1.99
Archie Goodwin	3	3	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.00	-4	1	-5	12.3	14.4	-2.10	8.3	14.9	-6.59
Anthony Tolliver	14	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	5	-13	16.6	14.0	2.56	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Marcus Morris	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	14.8	14.1	0.78	15.2	14.4	0.89
Eric Bledsoe	73	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-8	13	13.9	15.6	-1.62	14.8	14.5	0.25
Gerald Green	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.0	14.8	-0.82	14.6	14.9	-0.29
PJ Tucker	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-5	7	14.2	14.6	-0.44	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Markieff Morris	84	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-9	15	13.9	16.8	-2.91	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Goran Dragic	87	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.52	5	-8	13	14.0	16.8	-2.85	14.9	13.4	1.51
Alex Len	32	31	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	15	-33	15.9	13.6	2.26	13.3	15.4	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
UTA 133, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.36,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CLE 98, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%