NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	6.2 [551]		MVP	Randy Livingston (HOU): +9.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.6 [422]		LVP	Gary Trent (POR): -11.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	3	112%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	20	54%	0.16	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Clyde Drexler	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.03	0.05	12	73%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	9	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.02	8	61%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aleksandar Djordjevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	24	51%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	12	58%	0.04	6	-0.14	7	86%	0.04
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.6	24.5	18.8	28.0	2.0	35.3	135.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +70.3%

HOU +10.3%

POR -0.8%

POR -21.0%

POR -8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.6	104.2	93.7	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		107.2	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.2	19.2	14.2	13.9	14.6
POR	17.3	17.8	14.6	13.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-9	28	13.4	17.4	-4.00	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Matt Bullard	36	36	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	-2	14	15.6	14.0	1.62	16.7	15.1	1.59
Randy Livingston	28	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	1	8	14.4	14.7	-0.31	17.2	15.1	2.07
Mario Elie	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	3	4	15.4	11.7	3.74	15.8	15.6	0.15
Hakeem Olajuwon	73	75	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	10	-10	16.6	8.0	8.56	16.5	13.0	3.40
Othella Harrington	42	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	4	2	11.7	16.8	-5.09	14.5	16.6	-2.11
Clyde Drexler	80	80	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	9	-8	13.4	21.1	-7.70	15.3	18.3	-3.00
Matt Maloney	67	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	9	-8	14.7	14.4	0.31	15.1	17.2	-2.07
Charles Jones	7	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	15	-20	22.0	14.0	8.01	17.0	15.7	1.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	64	64	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-20	30	15.1	17.0	-1.87	14.9	14.0	0.91
Isaiah Rider	64	66	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-14	18	14.7	17.8	-3.02	13.5	17.0	-3.48
Aleksandar Djordjevic	6	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-4	-2	17.8	15.6	2.24	22.2	14.1	8.10
Gary Trent	18	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-2	-6	16.8	15.5	1.35	9.5	15.6	-6.11
Clifford Robinson	77	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-9	8	15.2	17.8	-2.59	14.8	13.5	1.30
Mitchell Butler	18	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	17.8	15.2	2.59	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Rasheed Wallace	77	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-8	6	15.5	16.8	-1.35	15.6	9.5	6.11
Kenny Anderson	89	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-6	2	15.6	17.8	-2.24	14.1	22.2	-8.10
Aaron McKie	31	29	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	4	-18	17.8	14.7	3.02	17.0	13.5	3.48
Chris Dudley	31	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.07	-20	10	-30	17.0	15.1	1.87	14.0	14.9	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 116, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%
CHA 98, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,0	93.3%
MEM 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.02,0.01,0	93.2%