NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	110		Excitement	5.3 [742]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +7.1%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	2.7 [276]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -18.9%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	12	69%	0.14	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.03
Rod Strickland	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	14	69%	0.15	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jaren Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tracy Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	13	61%	0.05	9	-0.24	5	20%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	23	70%	0.21	6	-0.17	15	60%	-0.03
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	69%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	38%	-0.02	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	14	46%	-0.04	5	-0.11	7	57%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	29.5	14.6	27.6	2.6	29.5	131.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.9%

WAS +7.2%

WAS +3.1%

WAS +14.7%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	15.6	111.1	104.1	104.4
season	14.8	15.0		104.3	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.8		109.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	13.4	13.2	18.9	14.5
GSW	14.7	15.4	15.6	13.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	79	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-10	28	14.0	16.5	-2.58	14.0	17.6	-3.59
Chris Webber	88	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-7	22	14.3	16.1	-1.80	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Juwan Howard	81	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-7	22	14.2	15.9	-1.70	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Calbert Cheaney	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-1	10	13.5	15.4	-1.94	14.7	14.8	-0.06
Harvey Grant	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	1	6	16.4	13.2	3.16	14.9	14.7	0.20
Gheorghe Muresan	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	6	-4	13.2	15.7	-2.58	15.2	14.3	0.84
Jaren Jackson	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	9	-10	15.4	13.5	1.94	14.8	14.7	0.06
Chris Whitney	23	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	19	-30	16.5	13.9	2.58	15.8	14.4	1.36
Tracy Murray	38	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.25	-14	22	-36	15.2	14.0	1.16	15.8	14.1	1.63

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	29	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-14	20	14.2	15.0	-0.76	15.0	14.3	0.72
Donald Royal	37	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-15	22	13.8	15.3	-1.46	15.3	14.0	1.24
B.J. Armstrong	33	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	18.1	13.1	5.00	14.7	14.4	0.37
Bimbo Coles	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-12	16	15.3	14.3	1.03	16.7	12.8	3.81
Andrew DeClercq	21	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-2	-4	17.5	14.0	3.54	16.0	14.1	1.90
Todd Fuller	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	15.3	14.6	0.74	13.1	14.9	-1.78
Chris Mullin	80	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-8	8	14.0	18.0	-3.99	14.5	14.2	0.31
Mark Price	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.05	-13	5	-18	14.0	15.7	-1.70	12.5	16.8	-4.27
Joe Smith	83	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	10	-28	14.4	16.6	-2.19	13.9	17.2	-3.31
Latrell Sprewell	89	90	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.23	-16	8	-24	14.4	17.9	-3.46	14.5	14.7	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0	94.4%
UTA 96, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIN 120, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%