NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	96		Excitement	5.3 [795]		MVP	James Ennis III (HOU): +10.4%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.6 [981]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -18.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.01	0.02	8	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.00	14	59%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	17	60%	0.22	8	-0.21	8	75%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	11	43%	0.05	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	11	28%	-0.10	4	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	70%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	10	36%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	12	58%	0.06	7	-0.16	2	100%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.06	0.06	16	47%	-0.09	3	-0.09	13	92%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.0	13.8	27.4	0.8	35.6	128.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.2%

CHI -9.5%

HOU +15.5%

HOU +2.9%

CHI -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.3	98.0	88.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.6		114.0	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	15.8	15.2	14.9	15.1
CHI	15.3	14.2	14.8	11.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	1	6	15.1	15.2	-0.16	13.9	14.2	-0.31
James Harden	65	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-1	10	15.5	14.4	1.11	14.4	13.1	1.24
Gerald Green	36	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-2	12	14.9	15.3	-0.43	15.1	13.3	1.77
Gary Clark	42	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	-1	10	13.6	16.3	-2.73	14.9	13.2	1.71
Isaiah Hartenstein	23	25	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	1	6	15.3	15.1	0.28	14.2	13.9	0.36
Chris Paul	77	75	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	8	-8	15.2	14.8	0.47	13.0	16.8	-3.77
Clint Capela	75	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	7	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.28	13.9	14.2	-0.36
PJ Tucker	71	71	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.30	-8	16	-24	15.8	13.3	2.48	13.1	16.1	-2.96
James Ennis III	37	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.10	5	3	2	15.1	15.2	-0.08	14.7	13.5	1.16

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Arcidiacono	38	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-12	16	13.2	14.5	-1.27	14.9	15.3	-0.43
Jabari Parker	84	84	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-11	14	13.8	15.0	-1.23	15.6	12.6	2.99
Cristiano Felicio	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	2	-12	14.2	13.9	0.39	12.5	16.1	-3.64
Antonio Blakeney	23	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	13.9	14.0	-0.07	13.6	15.5	-1.86
Zach LaVine	77	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	14.0	13.9	0.07	15.5	13.6	1.86
Wendell Carter Jr.	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-10	12	13.9	14.2	-0.39	16.1	12.5	3.64
Chandler Hutchison	60	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	13.0	15.4	-2.38	14.2	16.4	-2.23
Cameron Payne	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	7	-22	15.8	12.3	3.50	15.6	14.7	0.84
Justin Holiday	70	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	14.2	13.4	0.77	15.2	14.9	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, POR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DET 89, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	94.6%
WAS 110, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%