NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	5.6 [657]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +19.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	1.3 [873]		LVP	Olden Polynice (SAC): -21.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	23	62%	0.24	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.02	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Hurley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	13	62%	0.05	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	11	55%	-0.02	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Olden Polynice	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.20	-0.05	-0.03	13	30%	-0.11	5	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	9	62%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.09	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	14	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.02	5	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	48%	-0.05	2	-0.04	15	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	29.0	10.0	36.2	0.6	37.0	141.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +11.6%

LAC +4.6%

LAC +16.2%

LAC +14.6%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.6	103.3	115.2	104.4
season	15.4	15.8		102.4	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	15.5	16.0	14.6	15.1
LAC	17.0	15.8	16.0	16.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Hurley	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.01	-3	-9	6	13.7	15.4	-1.70	17.4	16.1	1.32
Duane Causwell	19	21	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-8	4	16.4	14.7	1.68	16.1	16.5	-0.31
Corliss Williamson	42	43	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.21	3	-15	18	15.0	15.2	-0.16	17.4	15.5	1.86
Olden Polynice	66	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-6	0	14.9	15.6	-0.65	17.2	14.0	3.17
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	46	48	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	14.4	15.8	-1.32	14.3	18.7	-4.41
Tyus Edney	43	41	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	0.02	-11	-1	-10	15.8	14.4	1.38	16.3	16.4	-0.07
Mitch Richmond	85	85	-0.39	-0.12	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-6	0	14.8	18.8	-4.01	16.5	14.4	2.11
Billy Owens	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	1	-14	15.2	14.7	0.46	16.2	16.9	-0.70
Michael Smith	64	61	-0.64	0.13	-0.77	-0.23	-14	2	-16	15.5	14.0	1.49	16.2	16.8	-0.59

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	59	59	0.56	-0.05	0.62	-0.03	20	-8	28	16.4	16.4	-0.02	16.2	13.0	3.27
Bo Outlaw	46	46	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.11	14	-2	16	16.3	16.5	-0.24	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Lorenzen Wright	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	1	10	16.6	16.0	0.65	15.2	14.9	0.33
Brent Barry	36	35	0.44	0.07	0.37	-0.00	15	-3	18	16.2	16.5	-0.35	15.6	14.8	0.83
Rodney Rogers	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	16.3	16.6	-0.26	15.4	13.7	1.70
Loy Vaught	65	64	0.14	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	7	-2	16.0	17.4	-1.45	14.5	16.6	-2.14
Malik Sealy	56	56	0.07	0.44	-0.37	0.16	-3	15	-18	16.5	16.2	0.35	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Kevin Duckworth	34	33	0.03	0.48	-0.45	0.09	-2	14	-16	17.0	16.0	1.03	15.5	14.8	0.67
Terry Dehere	33	32	-0.05	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	20	-28	16.4	16.4	0.02	13.0	16.2	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 81, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%
SAC 101, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%
DET 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%