NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	6.2 [580]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +17.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	117		Comeback	1.4 [1149]		LVP	Ray McCallum (SAC): -16.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	7	70%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jared Cunningham	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	70%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	27	51%	0.08	6	-0.18	9	89%	0.03
Rudy Gay	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	18	40%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	13	31%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.02	15	69%	0.23	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.06	0.03	9	59%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	11	27%	-0.14
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	38.5	16.5	28.5	2.3	30.6	145.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.7%

SAC -6.4%

LAC +5.1%

LAC +2.5%

LAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	17.3	12.9	15.1	106.3	121.9	105.2
season	15.4	14.3		104.5	111.0
opponent	15.4	14.7		104.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.9	16.0	18.2	16.2	17.3
LAC	12.4	12.8	12.6	13.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Cunningham	28	31	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-16	16	14.8	18.3	-3.46	14.3	12.3	2.03
Derrick Williams	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	14.5	17.5	-3.02	19.2	12.3	6.96
Quincy Acy	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	15.0	17.3	-2.29	1.0	13.0	-12.04
Travis Outlaw	43	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	15.5	18.7	-3.28	15.1	11.0	4.09
Ben McLemore	65	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-10	4	18.2	15.2	3.02	11.8	15.2	-3.36
Reggie Evans	68	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-13	10	18.2	14.9	3.32	12.0	15.0	-2.99
Jason Thompson	27	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-3	-10	14.9	18.2	-3.32	14.8	12.1	2.64
DeMarcus Cousins	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	17.7	13.8	3.87	12.5	16.8	-4.33
Rudy Gay	70	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.03	-21	5	-26	17.8	15.8	1.93	12.3	14.7	-2.38
Ray McCallum	80	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.11	-19	3	-22	17.7	14.7	3.00	12.6	14.2	-1.54

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	73	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-3	22	12.2	15.2	-2.97	17.9	15.3	2.58
Chris Paul	71	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.01	21	-5	26	12.2	14.9	-2.71	18.1	14.7	3.42
DeAndre Jordan	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.00	14	2	12	13.1	12.5	0.62	17.8	16.0	1.84
JJ Redick	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	11	-6	12.2	14.5	-2.36	17.5	16.8	0.73
Matt Barnes	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	-2	20	11.8	14.6	-2.77	19.0	14.5	4.50
Jamal Crawford	40	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	16	-16	15.0	11.4	3.53	14.6	19.1	-4.52
Jared Dudley	11	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	13	-10	14.6	12.7	1.94	13.6	17.7	-4.10
Reggie Bullock	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	0.5	13.2	-12.68	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Ryan Hollins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	7.0	13.1	-6.11	14.3	17.4	-3.03
Darren Collison	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	13	-10	14.5	11.5	3.01	16.2	18.1	-1.93
Hedo Turkoglu	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	17	-18	17.3	12.4	4.92	14.1	17.7	-3.59
Glen Davis	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	22	-28	13.6	12.5	1.09	16.5	17.7	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, SAS 99	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
SAC 94, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.0%
DAL 103, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%