inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 92 Excitement8.3 [192] MVPNick Van Exel (LAL): +14.9%
Sacramento Kings 90 Comeback2.2 [358] LVPDerek Fisher (LAL): -23.0%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0.150,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.010.017100%0.1500.001100%0.00
Elden Campbell0.120,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.050.001565%0.162-0.0510%-0.02
Byron Scott-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.00643%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Travis Knight-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rumeal Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.02-0.00337%0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Eddie Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03-0.050.030.01844%0.032-0.062100%0.09
Kobe Bryant-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.040.00743%0.023-0.1200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19-0.12-0.09-0.012444%-0.152-0.041354%-0.06
Derek Fisher-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23-0.07-0.160.00442%-0.132-0.10475%-0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duane Causwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Gamble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.020.00753%0.062-0.0610%-0.01
Olden Polynice0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.011256%0.021-0.048100%0.05
Tyus Edney0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01567%0.063-0.082100%0.02
Billy Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.050.01653%-0.033-0.10560%-0.03
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.12-0.001252%-0.032-0.11367%0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.09-0.011336%-0.131-0.022100%0.03
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.31,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.14-0.070.011745%0.146-0.364100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.527.316.426.42.536.4137.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +1.2%
LAL +5.7%
SAC -3.8%
LAL +35.2%
LAL +11.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSACNBALALSACNBA
this game15.515.815.6100.097.8104.4
season15.315.4105.8102.4
opponent15.415.7106.0101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.912.219.615.715.5
SAC13.920.012.617.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones79790.66-0.160.820.3610-81815.913.52.3215.815.60.18
Shaquille O'Neal79800.50-0.010.510.4420215.515.50.0816.510.85.68
Byron Scott35350.480.010.470.4220214.216.4-2.1515.615.9-0.32
Elden Campbell65650.450.040.400.4502-215.815.00.8116.114.91.20
Nick Van Exel34340.310.180.13-0.1014-122614.516.1-1.6416.615.31.39
Rumeal Robinson9100.190.30-0.110.31-46-1020.115.05.0712.116.2-4.12
Jerome Kersey62630.130.36-0.230.1011016.413.72.6716.015.20.88
Sean Rooks1312-0.010.50-0.51-0.0102-215.515.5-0.0810.816.5-5.68
Derek Fisher4948-0.010.50-0.510.22-810-1815.415.7-0.2715.915.60.30
Travis Knight2221-0.070.57-0.64-0.1011014.515.9-1.3614.216.2-2.05
Kobe Bryant1313-0.160.66-0.820.07-810-1813.515.9-2.3215.615.8-0.18

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Smith69680.58-1.071.650.1415-173215.516.5-1.0015.416.0-0.63
Kevin Gamble1110-0.10-0.390.290.04-53-820.115.24.9111.916.0-4.08
Tyus Edney4240-0.19-0.300.11-0.08-42-614.416.9-2.5217.214.23.04
Olden Polynice6464-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-5815.516.4-0.8416.214.02.15
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf5052-0.30-0.19-0.11-0.362-4616.914.42.5214.217.2-3.04
Duane Causwell2929-0.33-0.16-0.17-0.13-75-1216.715.31.3914.116.2-2.14
Mitch Richmond8182-0.39-0.10-0.29-0.483-5815.220.1-4.9116.011.94.08
Billy Owens6463-0.550.05-0.60-0.40-53-814.618.4-3.8216.912.74.20
Corliss Williamson5052-0.970.48-1.45-0.62-1210-2217.413.93.5214.217.3-3.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.36,0.35,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.23,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 95, WAS 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.33,0.27,091.7%
PHX 95, UTA 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.33,0.15,091.2%
GSW 86, HOU 840.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.42,090.5%