inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 76 Excitement3.7 [120] MVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): +43.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 74 Comeback1.4 [522] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -40.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.440,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.440.010.43-0.00557%0.4400.00475%0.04
Tim Hardaway0.270,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.270.140.120.001471%0.2700.007100%0.06
Keith Askins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.07-0.00462%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Gary Grant0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.00283%0.0600.002100%0.01
Ike Austin0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Sasha Danilovic-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00540%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17-0.08-0.080.001040%-0.043-0.1300%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.310,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31-0.16-0.17-0.021015%-0.223-0.0900%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.400,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.32,-0.4-0.17-0.230.001141%-0.314-0.091267%-0.07

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mills0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.020.031174%0.091-0.041100%0.01
Mark West0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bobby Phills0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03-0.03-0.080.04-0.011340%0.012-0.044100%0.09
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00650%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tyrone Hill0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.07-0.10-0.001348%-0.073-0.09560%-0.08
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.06-0.01742%-0.044-0.14540%-0.06
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.12-0.011736%-0.1900.005100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.01.827.315.625.02.829.2130.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +48.2%
CLE -4.6%
CLE -2.8%
MIA +6.0%
MIA +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game18.018.515.697.492.5104.4
season15.817.8103.1102.1
opponent16.116.3100.098.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.318.117.322.018.0
CLE17.417.019.620.418.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning49520.66-0.170.830.2813-112417.618.6-0.9920.115.64.49
Voshon Lenard37380.56-0.060.620.61-24-619.416.72.7517.919.0-1.13
Dan Majerle74760.50-0.000.500.384-2617.821.2-3.4718.812.56.30
Tim Hardaway62640.280.210.070.37-35-817.818.6-0.7617.721.7-4.00
Gary Grant16160.210.28-0.070.065-3818.617.80.7621.717.74.00
Keith Askins35360.200.29-0.090.2002-220.116.33.8019.317.81.44
P.J. Brown62620.080.42-0.340.28-79-1617.420.2-2.8017.621.6-4.03
Ike Austin980.060.44-0.380.0311017.318.0-0.7117.018.7-1.65
Sasha Danilovic4648-0.070.56-0.63-0.04-13-416.819.7-2.8717.619.8-2.26

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vitaly Potapenko99-0.06-0.440.380.00-20-218.718.50.2015.818.2-2.47
Antonio Lang65-0.09-0.410.320.03-42-623.318.15.2414.218.2-4.02
Terrell Brandon6261-0.17-0.320.15-0.387-91617.521.8-4.3217.918.2-0.27
Bob Sura3937-0.26-0.23-0.03-0.12-53-818.518.5-0.0018.517.51.00
Mark West2223-0.27-0.22-0.050.05-119-2019.818.01.8416.618.5-1.98
Danny Ferry5551-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.495-71217.820.0-2.1418.716.62.04
Chris Mills7473-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.472-4618.123.3-5.2418.214.24.02
Tyrone Hill5959-0.41-0.08-0.33-0.35-20-219.316.23.1117.818.4-0.61
Bobby Phills7472-0.46-0.03-0.44-0.460-2218.715.53.2318.116.51.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 80, DAL 750.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.06,0.05,092.7%
HOU 96, ORL 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.23,0.16,091.8%
CHH 97, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.27,091.5%