NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	97		Excitement	8.4 [160]		MVP	Milt Palacio (BOS): +26.1%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	1.2 [659]		LVP	Vitaly Potapenko (BOS): -22.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24	0.12	0.13	0.01	7	88%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Hersey Hawkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Elden Campbell	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	11	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	21	43%	-0.02	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.05
Jamaal Magloire	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	6	45%	-0.06	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.07
Baron Davis	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	9	39%	-0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.17	0.00	5	93%	0.28	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.06
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	18	62%	0.13	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Chris Herren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	28	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.04
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	7	39%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	7	14%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	25.2	15.8	29.6	1.7	30.6	130.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -3.4%

CHH +11.0%

CHH +48.6%

BOS -7.2%

CHH +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	BOS	NBA	CHH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.5	103.2	101.1	100.9
season	15.8	15.1		99.7	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.5	14.2	15.4	19.2	15.7
BOS	14.9	16.4	13.9	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	15.8	15.3	0.49	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Elden Campbell	49	47	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-6	17	16.1	15.2	0.97	16.4	14.5	1.88
David Wesley	71	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	15.5	16.3	-0.88	15.0	16.9	-1.96
Hersey Hawkins	54	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	2	1	15.7	15.6	0.10	15.2	15.8	-0.56
P.J. Brown	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	2	1	15.1	16.8	-1.70	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Baron Davis	63	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	6	-7	15.9	15.3	0.63	16.2	13.9	2.33
Derrick Coleman	39	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	5	-5	16.3	15.3	0.98	15.5	15.4	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	32	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	10	-15	16.6	15.2	1.34	14.0	16.2	-2.15
Otis Thorpe	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	4	-3	11.1	16.1	-4.98	16.7	15.3	1.42
Scott Burrell	25	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.5	15.4	0.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Herren	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-8	11	15.3	15.5	-0.25	14.8	16.0	-1.27
Mark Blount	45	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-7	9	16.5	14.4	2.10	15.4	16.0	-0.64
Tony Battie	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	17.3	15.2	2.09	12.3	16.0	-3.70
Adrian Griffin	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	4	-13	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.0	16.5	-3.56
Walter McCarty	33	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	6	-17	15.5	15.4	0.15	13.3	17.1	-3.77
Paul Pierce	62	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.52	6	-11	17	15.7	15.0	0.71	17.0	12.5	4.58
Eric Williams	81	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-5	5	15.7	13.6	2.08	15.9	13.9	2.01
Milt Palacio	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	14.9	16.1	-1.16	16.2	15.0	1.14
Antoine Walker	80	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.9	-0.52	16.4	10.6	5.84
Vitaly Potapenko	46	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	2	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.10	16.0	15.4	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,0	92.4%
SAC 98, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.42,0	91.9%
DET 101, SEA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.19,0	91.8%