NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	80		Excitement	7.9 [243]		MVP	John Long (TOR): +27.2%
Toronto Raptors	82		Comeback	15.9 [84]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -29.3%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.18,-0.06,-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	13	42%	-0.02	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29	-0.14	-0.19	-0.03	11	29%	-0.16	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.27	0.27	0.02	0.25	0.00	3	67%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.00	23	59%	0.04	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.19,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	13	53%	-0.06	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	14	39%	-0.03	6	-0.15	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	24.6	14.6	24.1	2.4	34.4	127.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +9.6%

TOR +1.2%

TOR +49.3%

WAS -0.4%

WAS -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	16.5	15.6	90.9	91.1	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		104.3	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.8		105.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	14.0	17.6	16.8	15.9
TOR	13.9	15.9	19.3	17.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	31	31	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-5	8	15.7	15.9	-0.17	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Harvey Grant	42	42	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.13	1	-3	4	16.7	15.1	1.60	16.4	16.6	-0.13
Chris Whitney	27	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-4	6	15.1	16.2	-1.02	18.6	15.6	2.94
Gheorghe Muresan	44	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.09	-3	1	-4	15.5	16.2	-0.66	17.8	15.3	2.47
Juwan Howard	71	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-3	4	15.4	17.9	-2.59	16.2	17.9	-1.78
Calbert Cheaney	53	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	-1	0	15.4	16.5	-1.15	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Tracy Murray	39	41	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.54	-1	-1	0	15.6	16.1	-0.47	16.7	16.3	0.38
Chris Webber	68	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.56	-4	2	-6	16.2	14.6	1.62	16.0	18.4	-2.44
Rod Strickland	65	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.47	-8	6	-14	16.6	13.8	2.74	16.2	17.3	-1.08

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Long	10	10	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.51	12	-10	22	18.7	16.2	2.47	19.6	15.4	4.23
Walt Williams	78	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-5	12	16.6	15.7	0.96	15.8	16.2	-0.46
Doug Christie	78	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-2	6	15.9	20.2	-4.23	16.4	12.2	4.17
Popeye Jones	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	-2	6	16.1	23.0	-6.88	15.9	13.7	2.26
Damon Stoudamire	74	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	16.6	16.0	0.61	15.8	15.9	-0.02
Marcus Camby	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	4	-6	17.4	16.4	1.01	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Acie Earl	29	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	8	-14	17.1	16.2	0.84	14.1	16.7	-2.61
Sharone Wright	51	49	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.14	-4	6	-10	15.7	17.5	-1.74	16.1	15.5	0.61
Hubert Davis	35	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	10	-18	17.9	15.6	2.31	14.6	16.6	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.22,0.45,0.22,0.32,0.16,1	92.5%
ATL 109, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,1	91.8%
TOR 97, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,1	90.8%